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<br /> e the commission had agreed that the LTD goals were too optimistic. He said <br /> that computer modelin~ for Eugene and Springfield could occur separately. <br /> Referring to Mr. Obie s question regarding the Trip Making issue, he said the <br /> commission had chosen the household rate as a compromise between the per <br /> capita rate and the rate originally used in the T-2000 Plan and a continuation <br /> of present trip making trends which show continued increases in trip making <br /> rates. In response to a question by Mr. Obie regarding outlying industrial <br /> areas, Mr. Rutan said the commission was not assuming a total build-out of <br /> those areas and that the plan was flexible in addressing the build-out as it <br /> occurred. <br /> Councilor Bascom said she had participated in the development of the T-2000 <br /> Plan. She felt that the new plan would not be any more error-free than the <br /> original plan. However, she stressed that the original developers of the plan <br /> had been correct in assuming that bicycle facilities would be used if built. <br /> She suggested that the council adopt the per capita trip making rate and the <br /> seven percent goal for the Transit issue. <br /> In response to a question by Councilor Schue regarding the Transit goals, <br /> Mr. Viggiano said it would be difficult to determine how future factors <br /> might affect the LTD recommended goals. He felt that LTD could achieve the <br /> eight percent ridership goal if it experienced the same rate of growth through <br /> 2000 as experienced during the previous year. <br /> Councilor Holmer said it was wise to be conservative in planning pUblic works. <br /> Referring to the graph distributed by Mr. McKinley, he asked how staff could <br /> e justify the eight percent transit ridership goal in the light of past exper- <br /> ience. Mr. Reinhard said that some saturation point must exist. He said staff <br /> was unsure how long the increase in the per capita rate would continue. He <br /> commented that the Evaluation Report addressed the socia-economic changes <br /> which had created the increases in the household rate; however, he felt that <br /> any choice would be based on individual philosophy. In response to another <br /> question, he said staff was not sure whether a realistic set of assumptions <br /> could be developed. <br /> In response to a question regarding the review process, Mr. McKinley said <br /> staff hoped to review the Metro Plan Land Uses in conjunction with the T-2000 <br /> Plan during the next major update. Mr. Hansen said he viewed the Evaluation <br /> Report as a document to plan what may happen. He stressed that the City must <br /> be realistic in planning what may happen as opposed to what individuals wish <br /> to occur. He felt that the City must plan for a more mobile population in the <br /> future. He said he viewed the plan optimistically and that the City goals <br /> could be developed in another document such as the Community Goals and Policies. <br /> Ms. Bascom said she agreed with Mr. Hansen except that she had reached a <br /> different conclusion regarding trip making rates. Mr. Replinger explained <br /> that the per capita rate was six trips per day, stating that an average <br /> household of 2.7 individuals would generate a household rate of 16 trips per <br /> day. He said the household size was expected to decrease from 2.7 to 2.3 <br /> individuals over the next 20 years. Ms. Bascom said the difference between <br /> the two rates was only 15 percent. She felt that reaching for a higher <br /> transit level would not be necessary because the plan contained other errors. <br /> e She felt that the number of trips would decrease as the average age of the <br /> area population increased. She did not feel that the City would underbuild <br /> the transportation system by using the per capita rate. <br /> MINUTES--Eugene City Council September 24, 1984 Page 3 <br />