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is moved back and forth between California, the Pacific Northwest and western <br />Canada. <br /> <br />The transmission system is a network of high voltage lines (500 kV and 230 kY) and <br />substations which transmit power between generation plants and the local distribution <br />system. The distribution system is a network of lower voltage lines and substations <br />which carries power from transmission system substations to neighborhoods and <br />eventually to individual customers. <br /> <br />Power outages in Lane County are most likely to result from disruption of the <br />transmission lines carrying power from outside Lane County or within Lane County, or <br />damage to the local distribution lines within the Eugene/Springfield Metro Area. The <br />generating plant system has sufficient redundancy so that failures of one or more <br />plants do not usually lead to significant power outages. However, because of the <br />limited generation capacity within Lane County, major disruptions in the transmission <br />system would result in substantial curtailment of available power. A major ice storm in <br />the Columbia River area could conceivably fail all of the 500 kV transmission lines <br />feeding Lane County from the north. However, the transmission system has enough <br />redundancy that the power needs of Lane County would likely be met by a <br />combination of local generating capacity and transmission of power from California. <br /> <br />However, a severe ice storm with 2 to 4" of ice over much of Lane County could result <br />in failure of all north-south 500 kV and 230 kV transmission lines within Lane County. <br />Such a failure, which is unlikely, but certainly not impossible, would probably entail <br />widespread power outages for 2 to 5 days. <br /> <br />The most frequent power outages, however, are due to failure of the local <br />subtransmission or distribution system lines. Winter storms are the most frequent <br />cause of significant electric power outages, with wind being the primary culprit. <br />Electric distribution lines, the Iow voltage lines that deliver power to neighborhoods, <br />are the most vulnerable electric system component in winter storms. Failures most <br />commonly result from tree falls or from "burn downs" when wind-swayed cables touch <br />or get too close to each other and short circuit. Distribution system failures may also <br />be due to utility pole failures. Distribution lines may also fail due to ice loading in <br />excess of design specifications or from landslides or debris flows or flooding which <br />knock out utility poles. <br /> <br />Failures of distribution system lines are thus the most common failure mode for <br />electric power systems. Power system outages are more common and of longer <br />duration in rural areas compared to urban or suburban areas. Rural areas are more <br />prone to electric outages because they have a higher percentage of above-ground <br />lines and are more likely to have hilly areas with high concentrations of trees and <br />higher wind speeds than in flatter terrain. In rural areas, with lower population density, <br />there is also a higher ratio of length of distribution lines per customer. With a longer <br />length of exposed line, the probability of an outage is higher for a rural customer than <br />for an urban customer. <br /> <br />Once a portion of a power distribution circuit fails, all customers in that part of the <br />circuit lose power. The duration of the power outage depends on the number of <br />outages and the number of repair crews available for repairs. A typical power utility <br /> <br />Public Review Draft: August 6, 2004 13-8 <br /> <br /> <br />