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Current projections show that the tax increment revenues should be sufficient to pay for <br />the projects and associated debt by FY27. The district would cease collecting tax increment <br />funds once there are sufficient tax increment funds available to repay all debt issued or <br />obligations created to fund the Projects. <br />Chapter 8: Financial Analysis of the Plan with Sufficient <br />Information to Determine Feasibility <br />The financial analysis of the plan shown in Table 7 in Exhibit E includes the anticipated tax <br />increment revenues over the projected remaining life of the Plan. The analysis shows that <br />the anticipated tax increment revenues are based on reasonable projections of new <br />development and appreciation in existing property values. The projection of tax increment <br />revenues is based on the following assumptions: <br />• Property assessed values will increase by 3% per year, which includes increases on <br />existing property as well as a small amount of new investment in existing downtown <br />area properties. <br />• No significant, new taxable development is anticipated during the next several years. <br />Tax rates applicable to the Downtown Urban Renewal District are projected to go down <br />over time, due to the Oregon statute that says that certain urban renewal plans may <br />only collect tax increment on permanent tax rates or bonds and levies approved by <br />voters prior to October 6, 2001. In particular, bonded debt tax rates applicable to the <br />Downtown Urban Renewal District will be reduced as bonds approved by voters prior <br />to October 6, 2001 are retired. <br />The projections result in urban renewal tax revenues between FY17 and FY27 of <br />approximately $27 million. Together with other revenues and existing fund balances, these <br />revenues will support the $19.4 million of increased maximum indebtedness plus the <br />interest on the debt to fund the 2016 Amendment Projects. In addition to the <br />redevelopment projects, the revenues will be sufficient to pay for other obligations, such as <br />project delivery and administrative activities, including an allocation of overhead costs. <br />Those costs are projected to increase over time due to inflation and higher retirement costs <br />at a rate of about 5% per year. <br />The Agency will also carry a balance equal to two months of operating costs each year, per <br />City of Eugene financial policy and a debt service reserve account, if required by lenders. <br />Report on the 2016 Amendment 18 <br />