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Susan Muir Kurt Yeiter May 30, 2006 Page 2 needs and their existing supply for purposes of making such a demonstration. The lack of specifics may provide for some flexibility for local governments in making those determinations. Generally, the housing need analysis is limited to the area within the.jurisdiction's UGB and must be based on data that has been collected since the last periodic review or five years, :whichever is greater. However, ORS 197.296(5)(c) specifically allows a local government to use data from a wider geographical area or from a longer time period if the analysis will provide "more accurate, complete and reliable data relating to trends affecting housing need." This statute may allow the City the flexibility to use the analysis from the Region 2050 project as a basis for determinitlg the level of Eugene's need for residential land. 2 . If a city determines that the housing need is greater than its housing capacity, ORS 197.296(6) requires that the City either: (1) Expand Its UGB; (2) Adopt new land use measures tluit "demonstrably increase the likelihood -that residential development win occur at densities sufficient to accommodate" the housing need without a UGB expansion; or . (3) AdClpt a combination of the actions described in (1) and (2). These options are discussed below. Since the City of Springfield and the City of Eugene share a DGB, they must coordinate to ensure that their actions, taken together, strike the necessary balance between need and supply for the area. In.tbe past, the two jurisdictions have taken a different approach to providing for projected growth and have worked together to ensure that the collective actions (e.g., iOO11 opportunities. higher densities, UGB expansions) meet the projected demand. UGB Expansion A UGB expansion to accommodate Eugene's expected growth would need to be processed as a Metro Plan amendment approved by Eugene and Lane County. Depending on the location of the proposed expansion and/or the expansion~ s regional impact, it may also need Springfield's approval. EC 9.7720; 9.7730(1). ORS 197.298 specifies the priority ofland to be included within a DGB; the location of a UGB expansion must be consistent with the statute's priorities.3 Further, Statewide Planning 2 In determining its projected housing needs under GoaitO a city may use any method for arriving at a population forecast, so long as the method provides an adequate factual base for the forecast Assuming the methods used in the Region 2050prqject are defensible, the City may (but does not have to) choose to adopt the Region 2050 population forecasts for Eugene as part of the City's next GoallO Residential Lands Study. 3 Under ORS ] 97.298, first priority is given to land that is designated 'urban reserve land.' Second priority is given to -land adjacent to a tJGB. that is identified in the comprehensive plan as an exception area or nomesource land or certain resource land that is completely surrounded by exception areas. TIrird priority is given to land designated as 'rnarginalland.' Fourth priority is given to land designated in the comprehensive plan for agriculture