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CLARKE Kelly A <br />From:Mark Robinowitz <mark@oilempire.us> <br />Sent:Friday, February 24, 2017 4:40 PM <br />To:INERFELD Rob <br />Subject:Re: Eugene 2035 Transportation System Plan -- Upcoming Public Hearing -- March 6, <br />2017 <br />Attachments:peak-traffic.pdf; oregon-highways.pdf; what the frack.pdf <br />for the record - for what it's worth <br />USA domestic oil peaked in 1970, the mid-2000s energy shortage was only postponed by the acceleration of Canadian tar sands and <br />domestic fracking for oil and gas. But fracking was a short term boom and bust, now past its peak for oil and gas due to debt and <br />depletion. Richard Heinberg’s Post Carbon Institute has done the best technical work on this, but they have had a hard time getting <br />anyone to listen ... even the environmental groups don’t want to hear it. The downslope of fracking is likely to accelerate in the Trump <br />/ Pence years, and a reason I think they were allowed to steal the “election.” Unlike 1973, this time the gas lines will likely be a <br />permanent situation. Car sharing and bicycles will be more practical than buying a Prius. <br />Texas oil has a similar curve (but the EIA graph maker program doesn’t have the full data). Texas peaked in 1972, declined by three <br />fourths by the mid 2000s (the “uh-oh” decade) and fracking brought oil extraction back up to the 1972 levels -- briefly. <br />Texas fracking is also now in decline. <br />see also the attached PDF file <br />1 <br /> <br />