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majority of echo boomers' housing preference is to own a single-family home.37 <br />Our conclusion based on review of recent research is that it seems unlikely that <br />the majority of echo boomers will make fundamentally different housing choices <br />than previous generations as they age and have families. <br />• Echo boomers are likely to choose to rent when they are under 30 years. They <br />will most frequently rent a multi -family unit. This choice may be made from <br />preference but is likely to be necessitated by lower income. <br />• As they establish their careers, their incomes increase, and they form families, <br />it seems likely that a large share of echo boomers in Eugene will choose to live <br />in an owner -occupied single family house. Some echo boomers may prefer to <br />rent or own a multi -family unit in or near Eugene's downtown. <br />• Recent articles suggest that echo boomers who prefer single-family units may <br />prefer (or only be able to afford) smaller single-family units. <br />• Eugene is a suburban market, with urban amenities that may appeal to echo <br />boomers who prefer to live in a smaller city. Eugene itself does not have <br />distant suburbs but nearby smaller cities have filled the role of distant suburbs <br />for Eugene. Echo boomers may choose to live in Eugene's suburban <br />neighborhoods, rather than in nearby smaller cities, if housing in Eugene is <br />affordable. <br />37 A national survey of Echo Boomers in 2010 shows that: two-thirds of Echo Boomers expect to own their home by 2015, that <br />nearly two-thirds expect to live in a single-family home, one-quarter expects to live in an apartment or condominium. These <br />results are from the Urban Land Institute study Generation Y: America's New Housing Wave. <br />Part 11 — Eugene Housing Needs Analysis ECONorthwest Page 99 <br />