Ordinance No. 20585 - Laserfiche WebLink

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4.4 Residential land sufficiency The last step in the analysis of the sufficiency of residential land within the Eugene UGB is to residential capacity (Table 67) with the forecast of housing need in Eugene for the 2012-2032 period (Table 31). Table 67 shows Eugene has: • A LDR land surplus of 63 dwelling units or 16 acres. • A MDR land surplus of 1,389 dwelling units or 130 acres. • A HDR land deficit of 1,000 dwelling units or 47 acres. Table 67. Comparison of capacity of existing residential land with need for new dwelling units, Eugene UGB, 2012-2032 In addition to the land deficit or surplus shown in Table 67, Eugene needs to plan for additional group quarters. The analysis described in section 3.1.2 estimates Eugene will add 1,554 persons in group quarters between 2012 and 2032. Assuming that the household size of group quarters is 1.6 persons per household67 and that group quarters develop at the same density as structures with 5 or more units in HDR, Eugene will need about 45 gross acres of land for group quarters over the 20 -year period. According to the 2007 Census, 60% of Eugene's population in group quarters was in dormitories. Sixty percent of the 45 acres (27 acres) is assumed to be for dormitories. The University of Oregon reports that they have adequate land for new dormitories so no new land is needed for dormitories. Varying types of group quarters aside from dormitories are allowed in all residential plan designations. The remaining 40% of the group quarters need, 18 of these 45 acres, will be spread equally in the residential designations, with six acres in each LDR, MDR, and HDR. 67 This household size estimate is based on 2011 American Community Survey data about the number of occupied units with two or more units per structure (25,355 units) and the population living in structures with two or more units per structure (39,873 persons). Page 148 ECONorthwest Part 11 — Eugene Housing Needs Analysis Capacity of Land Sufficiency Additional land needed to accommodate new housing existing land (DU Land Deficit Potential Vacant, Residential Density or Surplus Partially Vacant, Capacity -- (DU/Gross (Gross Plan Designation and Redev.) Housing Need Surplus or Deficit Acre) Acres) Low Density Residential 8,817 8,754 63 4 16 Medium Density Residential 4,644 3,255 1,389 10.7 130 Hiqh Density Residential 2.096 3.096 -1.000 21.5 -47 In addition to the land deficit or surplus shown in Table 67, Eugene needs to plan for additional group quarters. The analysis described in section 3.1.2 estimates Eugene will add 1,554 persons in group quarters between 2012 and 2032. Assuming that the household size of group quarters is 1.6 persons per household67 and that group quarters develop at the same density as structures with 5 or more units in HDR, Eugene will need about 45 gross acres of land for group quarters over the 20 -year period. According to the 2007 Census, 60% of Eugene's population in group quarters was in dormitories. Sixty percent of the 45 acres (27 acres) is assumed to be for dormitories. The University of Oregon reports that they have adequate land for new dormitories so no new land is needed for dormitories. Varying types of group quarters aside from dormitories are allowed in all residential plan designations. The remaining 40% of the group quarters need, 18 of these 45 acres, will be spread equally in the residential designations, with six acres in each LDR, MDR, and HDR. 67 This household size estimate is based on 2011 American Community Survey data about the number of occupied units with two or more units per structure (25,355 units) and the population living in structures with two or more units per structure (39,873 persons). Page 148 ECONorthwest Part 11 — Eugene Housing Needs Analysis