Ordinance No. 20585 - Laserfiche WebLink

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2 HISTORICAL AND RECENT DEVELOPMENT TRENDS Analysis of historical development trends in Eugene provides insights into how the local housing market functions. The housing type mix and density are also key variables in forecasting future land need. Moreover, such an analysis is required by ORS 197.296. The specific steps are described in Task 2 of the DLCD Planning for Residential Lands Workbook: 1. Determine the time period for which the data must be gathered 2. Identify types of housing to address (all needed housing types) 3. Evaluate permit/ subdivision data to calculate the actual mix, average actual gross density, and average actual net density of all housing types ORS 197.296 requires the analysis of housing mix and density to include the past five years or since the most recent periodic review, whichever time period is greater.4 The City's last periodic review ended in 2007, five years before the 2012 planning period began. Therefore, ORS 197.296(5)(a) would require the City and County to rely on the five-year data set: 2007 - 2012. The City, however, made significant changes to the residential densities allowed in its zoning code in August 2001. Therefore, the City relied on the exception set out in (5)(c)5 to use data collected from an 11 - year time period: 2001- 2012. This longer time period was used because it provides more accurate, complete and reliable data relating to trends affecting housing need than a five-year analysis, especially because 2007- 2012 data would have been concentrated on years of nation-wide economic recession and because residential development prior to 2001 was not subject to the new standards in the zoning code. Since the City and County adopted a new land use code in 2001, that year provided an ideal starting point for collecting data. The period used in the analysis of housing density and mix is 2001 to 2012. Using the time period beginning 4 Specifically, ORS 197.296(5) (b) states: "A local government shall make the determination described in paragraph (a) of this subsection using a shorter time period than the time period described in paragraph (a) of this subsection if the local government finds that the shorter time period will provide more accurate and reliable data related to housing capacity and need. The shorter time period may not be less than three years." 5 Specifically, ORS 197.296(5)(c) states: "A local government shall use data from a wider geographic area or use a time period for economic cycles and trends longer than the time period described in paragraph (a) of this subsection if the analysis of a wider geographic area or the use of a longer time period will provide more accurate, complete and reliable data relating to trends affecting housing need than an analysis performed pursuant to paragraph (a) of this subsection. The local government must clearly describe the geographic area, time frame and source of data used in a determination performed under this paragraph." Page 18 ECONorthwest Part 11 — Eugene Housing Needs Analysis