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Portland State University forecasts a 2062 population of 267,947 for Eugene. We will update our <br />land supply projections using these 2015 PSU certified population projections, adopted housing mix <br />assumptions and updated employment growth rate numbers, and project them out 10-30 years <br />beyond the UGB horizon of 2032, as allowable by state law. <br />the future? <br />Building off of recent work, we will develop a study area and analyze land suitable for inclusion in an <br />urban reserve. This is a multistep process; we will follow the steps in OAR 660-021-0010 and build <br />off of the expansion analysis used for determining land suitable for inclusion in the UGB. <br />planning for urban reserves that meet the long term vision and <br />s future population? <br />We will engage community members, service providers, public agencies and community groups at <br />key decision-points throughout the process to determine the preferred planning period, location <br />and size of an urban reserve. <br />Staff will provide the City Council and Lane County Board of Commissioners an opportunity to act on a <br />proposal for urban reserves by January 2020. Once direction is given on a preferred urban reserves <br />area, staff will prepare documents for formal adoption with the goal of scheduling the first Planning <br />Commission public hearing within six months, and providing an opportunity for local action by <br />December 2020. <br />Urban reserves must be established cooperatively through intergovernmental agreements between the <br />City, County and special districts serving or projected to serve the urban reserve area. Each jurisdiction <br />will need to adopt agreements at or before the time of Urban Reserve designation. The final Urban <br />Reserve ordinance will be adopted by both the City of Eugene and Lane County, and must be <br />acknowledged by the State Division of Land Conservation and Development. <br />Failure to Reach Resolution <br />Failure to reach an agreed upon urban reserve proposal would leave our community with fewer options <br />for future growth of our city and prevent us from realizing our values and vision. The City would be less <br />prepared to respond to uncertainties in population growth, resulting in impacts to current and future <br />residents. Property owners and residents would face continued uncertainty about where future growth <br />may occur, with impacts to private investments in farming, forestry, and other uses. In addition, failure <br />could mean more expensive and less effective provision of critical public services such as fire protection, <br />transportation, electricity, and water resources, with higher costs for local residents and jurisdictions. <br />Hig <br />housing and jobs, and may increase the cost of future housing. <br />Goals <br />The goal of the project is to designate Urban Reserves for long term growth (up to 30 years beyond the <br />2032 UGB) in Eugene that: <br />1.Supports the pillars of Envision Eugene and advances the community vision beyond the <br />2032 UGB. <br />3 | Page <br /> <br />