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Page 14 <br />Prepared for: City of Eugene <br />Prepared by: PNW Economics, LLC <br />Market & Financial Analysis of Gordon Lofts MUPTE Program Application <br />•To Obie Companies’ advantage, the developer has major real estate holdings and development <br />track record in the area, which likely translates into a strong relationship with commercial <br />lending. The long-standing business relationship between Obie Companies and its lender will <br />likely mitigate concerns about lending for development on leased land. <br />Assumed Rents, Lease Rates & Escalation <br />Table 10 provides a summary of apartment rents and retail lease rate utilized in the pro forma analyses <br />in this section. <br />•Apartment rents by unit type are based on a competitive premium relative to First on <br />Broadway unit rents. First on Broadway rents were escalated by 5% annually for two years to <br />reflect the likely delivery of the project in 2020, then a 10% premium was added for Gordon <br />Lofts. <br />•The retail lease rate of $2.68 was achieved by assuming a $2.50 per square foot lease rate <br />more commensurate with the prevailing downtown Eugene market, then escalated by 3.5% <br />annually for two years. <br />•Annual apartment rent escalation is assumed to be 3%, while annual retail lease rate <br />escalation is assumed to be 3.5%, both consistent with assumptions in the Gordon Lofts <br />MUPTE application. <br />Table 10 – Gordon Lofts Project Market Apartment Rent & Retail Lease Rate Assumptions <br />Operating Expenses <br />Apartment Operating Expenses <br />Page 41 of the Gordon Lofts MUPTE application documents that operating expenses as a percentage of <br />income without MUPTE is expected to be $976,208, or $7,687 per apartment unit annually including <br />property taxes. Based on the past experience of PNW Economics, the operating expense per unit <br />assumed is high. Adjusting for the unusual expense of making lease payments to Lane County ($62,100 <br />annually), annual operating expense of $7,198 per unit annually is still on the high side. <br />•We would expect annual operating expense per apartment unit to be within the $5,000 to <br />$6,000 range. <br />Assumed Rents 2020 <br />Studio per Month $1,255 <br />1 Bed per Month $1,907 <br />2 Bed per Month $2,723 <br />Retail per Month $2.68 <br />October 17, 2018, Work Session – Item 2