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Eugene -Springfield Area Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan <br />2. Hazard Descriptions <br />experiencing. They concluded droughts in Oregon are likely to become more <br />frequent and severe, largely due to climate change.ts Based upon these recent events <br />the probability for future severe droughts is high. <br />2.2.6 Vulnerability and Capacity Assessment <br />Droughts are typically associated with summer, but often start during winter months <br />with declining precipitation levels. Drought forecasting is commonly generated <br />through temperature and ocean current patterns relative to recent and current <br />conditions. This allows scientist to predict future droughts well before they occur. <br />Drought is classified as having a high vulnerability level because a severe drought <br />could impact every citizen in the Eugene -Springfield area. Despite being vulnerable <br />to this hazard, the Eugene -Springfield area has a high capacity to respond to and <br />recover from droughts. This is largely due to the slow onset of a drought and <br />available resources. <br />2.2.7 Risk Assessment <br />The probability of drought in the Eugene -Springfield area is high and the <br />vulnerability and capacity to deal with a drought are also high. Based on these <br />factors, the Eugene -Springfield area's risk to this hazard is categorized as high. For a <br />summary of Impact Risks see Table 2-1. <br />Table 2-1 Drought - Im act Risks <br />Cascading Incident <br />Rankin <br />Civil Unrest <br />No Known <br />Dam or Levee Failure <br />No Known <br />Epidemic <br />No Known <br />Hazardous Materials <br />No Known <br />2.2.8 Existing Hazard Mitigation Activities <br />While drought was referenced in prior editions of this NHMP, a risk assessment of <br />drought was not included. Therefore, no existing hazard specific mitigation <br />activities were identified in those prior plans. <br />2.3 Earthquake <br />The 2015 Oregon Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan — Region 3 Profile determined <br />the chief earthquake hazard for the Mid/Southern Willamette Valley is the Cascadia <br />15 Oregon. Oregon Environmental Council Samantha, Murray. Drought is the New Normal. <br />September 30, 2015. Accessed October 2017. http://www.oeconline.org/drought-is-the-new-normal/. <br />2-5 January 2020 <br />