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Eugene -Springfield Area Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan <br />2. Hazard Descriptions <br />2.9.4 Impacts — Cascading Incidents <br />Civil Unrest <br />Civil unrest is not a known significant impact of wildfires. <br />Epidemics <br />Epidemics are not a known significant impact of wildfires. <br />Dam or Levee Failure <br />Dam or levee failures are not a known significant impact of wildfires. <br />Hazardous Materials <br />Hazardous material spills or releases are not a known significant impact of <br />wildfires. <br />2.9.6 Probability of Future Occurrence <br />The Steering Committee identified the probability of a wildfire occurring in the <br />Eugene -Springfield area as high given the high fuel load in nearby forested areas, <br />hilly topography, and dry summers. A high probability means one incident is likely <br />to occur within a 0 to 35-year period. As previously noted, climate change is <br />expected to make wildfires more likely as well. <br />2.9.6 Vulnerability and Capacity Assessment <br />Given the amount of residential development in the south hills of Eugene, the <br />Steering Committee rated the vulnerability to wildfire as moderate, meaning a <br />wildfire may impact 10% to 69% of the population and/or regional assets. <br />The 2014 Climate and Hazard Vulnerability Assessment confirmed these ratings. <br />Specifically, the assessment found, while wildfire incidents have the potential to <br />cause severe loss and damage in localized areas, the wildfire hazard is not likely to <br />result in systemic failures across multiple sectors or significant damage to critical <br />systems. <br />Capacity to respond to and recover from a forest fire is moderate for both Eugene <br />and Springfield. This is due to the amount of available resources as well as an <br />established conflagration process within the State of Oregon instituted through the <br />Office of the State Fire Marshal. <br />2-61 January 2020 <br />