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AVIATION DEMAND FORECASTS <br />include those related to health care, social assistance, and manufacturing of heavy items, which are all <br />unlikely to use air cargo services to ship regular quantities of cargo out from EUG. In contrast, with the <br />large number of technology companies in the area, it is assumed that some high value, light weight <br />products are being manufactured and shipped out of Eugene regularly. <br />Based Aircraft <br />Based aircraft represent the total number of active, civil aircraft permanently located at an airport. Based <br />aircraft categories include single-engine, multi-engine, jet, helicopter, and other. Historical based aircraft <br />data between 2005 and 2014 as recorded in the FAA TAF is presented in Figure 2-7. The 2015 data was <br />obtained from the most recent Airport 5010 Master Record. The 5010 Master Record and the FAA TAF <br />data are typically the same, as the TAF pulls its data from the 5010. <br /> <br />FIGURE 2-7 <br />HISTORICAL EUG BASED AIRCRAFT <br />Sources: FAA 2015 TAF Report, Data from Airport 5010 Master Record <br /> <br />Airport administration records were examined for the forecast analysis, which includes data obtained <br />through surveys sent out to hangar owners who hold ground leases with the City of Eugene Airport <br />Division. These surveys are estimated to have had about a 60 to 80 percent response rate, and were <br />dependent on hangar owners accounting for aircraft in all of the hangar units they owned. Because the <br />airport administration doesn’t directly manage or maintain any of the hangar units at the Airport, no other <br />convenient means of tracking aircraft in hangar units is available. Thus, the accuracy of both airport <br />administrative data and TAF data is expected to have some variance from the number of existing based <br />aircraft. <br /> <br />It was noted in the 2016 survey that the majority of non-responders appeared to come from the single- <br />engine owner category. Business aircraft owners/lessees had a much higher response rate, and thus this <br />data is deemed to be more accurate. The results of the 2016 survey are shown below in Table 2-3. The <br />total based aircraft of 156 is 29 less aircraft than the 2015 5010 Master Record indicated. Additionally, <br />there were 5 less multi-engine and 2 more jet engine aircraft reported in the survey as compared to the <br />5010 Record. These factors were taken into consideration in the forecast section of this chapter. Further <br />discussion of the analysis is provided in Section 2.4.4, Based Aircraft Forecasts. <br /> <br />EUGENE AIRPORT MASTER PLAN 2-9 <br /> <br />