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AVIATION DEMAND FORECASTS
<br />TABLE 2-4
<br />HISTORICAL POPULATION GROWTH COMPARISON
<br />CAGR 2005-
<br />Census Population
<br />2015
<br />County200520112012201320142015
<br />1
<br />Lane County335,831353,637354,610355,650358,506362,8950.8%
<br />Benton County80,94386,02586,44186,02486,41487,5720.8%
<br />Linn County108,132118,137118,359118,545119,269120,5471.1%
<br />Douglas County105,285107,273107,127106,887106,998107,6850.2%
<br />Lincoln County45,34745,85446,16646,29146,38647,0380.4%
<br />Total MSA335,831353,637354,610355,650358,506362,8950.8%
<br />CAGR YOY (MSA)0.3%0.3%0.8%1.2%
<br />2
<br />675,538710,926712,703713,397717,573725,7370.7%
<br />Total Combined
<br />-0.2%-0.1%-0.6%-1.1%
<br />CAGR Combined (YOY)
<br />Oregon3,613,202 3,868,509 3,899,444 3,928,030 3,971,202 4,028,977 1.2%
<br />CAGR (YOY) 0.8%0.7%1.1%1.5%
<br />United States 295,516,599 311,721,632 314,112,078 316,497,531 318,857,056 321,364,1290.9%
<br />CAGR (YOY)0.8%0.8%0.7%0.8%
<br />Source: Census Data, 2016
<br />Notes: (1) Counties included in the MSA. (2) Combination of Lane, Benton, Linn, Douglas, and Lincoln.
<br />
<br />Current and future population projections associated with the airport’s metropolitan statistical area (MSA)
<br />were examined and compared to Oregon and the U.S. One of the leading objective sources for assessing
<br />market growth in the U.S. is Woods and Poole. The 2016 Woods and Poole data were used to provide
<br />forecasted information on population, as shown in Figure 2-9. Lane County and Oregon’s population
<br />growth have historically been outpacing the U.S. average population growth rate. However, it is projected
<br />by Woods and Poole that growth in Lane County and Oregon will slow between 2014 and 2040. Although
<br />the population rate of growth is expected to lessen in the future, the slower forecasted rate of growth
<br />indicates a stronger, more stable economy for the area.
<br />
<br />Overall, the picture derived from the examination of the historical and future population forecasts for
<br />Lane County and the other counties in the catchment area, present a positive outlook for the area and
<br />EUG.
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<br />EUGENE AIRPORT MASTER PLAN 2-12
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