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AVIATION DEMAND FORECASTS <br />FIGURE 2-11 <br />VARIATION OF KEY ECONOMIC INDEXES AND CARGO VOLUMES COMPARED TO 2015 <br />Sources: 2016 Woods and Poole, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Airport Data U.S. Bureau of Labor and Statistics, RS&H Analysis <br /> <br />FORECASTS OF AVIATION ACTIVITY <br />This section details the forecasts of aviation activity at EUG based on the FAA’s Terminal Area Forecast <br />(TAF) for commercial passenger enplanements and operations, general aviation operations, military <br />operations, and based aircraft. Air cargo volumes and operations forecasts are also included in this section <br />though these were prepared based on a historic trend analysis as FAA does not include air cargo forecasts <br />in its TAF results. <br />2015 FAA Enplaned Passenger Forecasts <br />FAA’s 2015 TAF for enplaned passengers at EUG for the 2015 to 2035 forecast period is provided in <br />Figure 2-12. As observed, the TAF shows a slight decline in both air carrier and air taxi/commuter <br />enplanements until 2016 and a steady increase in total passenger enplanements from 2017 to 2035 at a <br />1.48 percent annual growth rate. The FAA is expecting higher growth rates for passenger enplanements <br />on air taxi and commuter aircraft than on air carriers. <br /> <br />A large inconsistency was identified in the 2015 TAF. That is, the decline forecasted in 2015 did not <br />materialize. According to airport records, annual enplaned passengers actually exceeded 2014 numbers <br />and set an all-time annual record. <br /> <br />EUGENE AIRPORT MASTER PLAN 2-15 <br /> <br />