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that the supply of commercial land as of 1989 was 702 acres. [Pg. 242 The demand needs <br />] <br />through the year 2010 were projected to be 532 acres, resulting in an excess supply of 170 acres. <br />This figure also includes a portion of existing industrial land approximately 95 acres) in <br />available supply, since the I-1 and I-2 zoning districts allow certain "supporting commercial <br />establishments." <br />The applicant submitted into the record a more recent analysis by Lane Council of Governments <br />~LCGG} updating the methodology used in the 1989 commercial lands inventory and applying <br />the most recent data, the 1994 parcel files. The LC4G analysis indicated a supply of <br />undeveloped commercial land of 354 acres, as of 1994. [Pg. 323] <br />The Industrial Lands Policy Report concluded that the short-term ~5 year} supply of industrial <br />land was determined to be 1,887 acres as of 1989, while the short-term demand was estimated to <br />be between 228 and 410 acres. [Pg. 311 ] The Report also determined that the long-term X20 <br />year} supply of buildable industrial land was 3,604 acres within the Metro UGB and 2,895 acres <br />within the Eugene UGB, far exceeding the long-term demand estimated at between 650 and <br />1,172 acres. [Pp. 308, 313] This information indicates that the industrial land supply is more <br />than adequate to meet the short-term and long-term demand for future industrial development. <br />The applicant submitted an analysis by LC4G updating the available supply of undeveloped <br />industrial land within the Eugene UGB using 1994 parcel data f les. The analysis calculated a <br />total supply of 2,861 acres of undeveloped industrially designated or zoned land within the <br />Eugene UGB. [Pg, 324] The Industrial Lands Inventory Report identified that of the total <br />acreage of vacant land within the Eugene-Springf eld UGB designated or zoned industrial, <br />approximately 10% of the vacant acreage is deemed unbuildable. The Industrial Lands Policy <br />Report defined "buildable land" as privately owned and "not prohibited from development due to <br />physical prohibitions including Iloodway, severe soils or slope constraints, and officially <br />protected wetland or wetland mitigation status." [Pg. 7, Policy Report] <br />Applying the same 10% reduction for unbuildable lands to the updated LC4G analysis of vacant <br />industrial land within the Eugene UGB yields approximately 2,575 acres of vacant, buildable <br />industrial land within the Eugene UGB as of 1994 [Pgs 126,127], which far exceeds the demand <br />within the entire Eugene-Springfield Metro UGB, Even if the amount of unbuildable acres <br />within the entire Eugene-Springfield UGB X43 5 acres} identified in the Industrial Lands <br />Inventory Report [Pg 308] is subtracted from the updated LC~G analysis of vacant industrial <br />land only within the Eugene UGB, the yield of 2,426 acres still far exceeds the projected <br />demand. <br />.Another study, "Market Demand Study for Nodal Development" by EC~Northwest and Leland <br />Consulting Group, indicated a similar number of undeveloped acres designated for industrial use. <br />[Pg. 253] In addition, this study notes that 43% of vacant, buildable industrial land is available <br />for Light-Medium Industrial use and 19% is designated for Campus Industrial use. <br />Furthermore, the industrial lands inventory accounted for changes in use and Plan designations. <br />The Policy Report stated: "The surplus of industrial land in the existing inventory provides for <br />5 <br />