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<br />ATTACHMENT B <br /> <br />FOSSIL FUEL REDUCTION RECOMMENDATION BACKGROUND <br /> <br />By August 2010, develop a community action plan that aims to reduce total, current community-wide fossil <br />fuel consumption 50 percent by 2030 (as an absolute not a per capita reduction) by (1) establishing targets <br />for achieving that goal; (2) identifying strategies to achieve those targets; (3) identifying necessary <br />adaptations; (4) developing measures for tracking success; (5) identifying financial impacts, and (6) <br />including periodic progress reports back to the community with annual reports of progress to the <br />Sustainability Commission. <br /> <br />Introduction <br />Businesses, government agencies and other organizations, households and many not for profit groups make <br />decisions based on the assumption that oil and gas will remain plentiful and affordable - so starts the Portland <br />c <br />Peak Oil taskforce report of March 2007. In the past few years evidence has emerged that suggests global <br />production of oil and natural gas is likely to reach its peak or has already peaked. This issue is often described as <br />“peak oil”. This is coupled with the continuous rise in global demand for fossil fuels and the huge role they play <br />throughout our community, including production and transportation of many of the goods and services used in <br />Eugene, food production, energy generation and road construction. The spike in fuel prices during spring and <br />summer 2008 gives an indication of how quickly prices can change. The subsequent price reduction is likely to be <br />short-lived as global demand for fossil fuels continues to increase and there are no significant new oil fields being <br />discovered or going into production. <br /> <br />In 2006 Portland City Council convened a citizen Peak Oil taskforce that was tasked with examining the potential <br />economic and social consequences of peak oil in Portland and developing recommendations to mitigate the <br />impacts of rising energy costs and declining supplies. The Portland Task Force used the United States Department <br />of Energy report from 2005, Peaking of World Oil Production: Impacts, Mitigation, & Risk management <br />(commonly referred to as the “Hirsch report”) for the starting point of its discussions. The Sustainability <br />Commission reviewed the taskforce report and found the recommendations contained were also very relevant to <br />Eugene. The three main sectors identified in Portland - transportation, heating of buildings and industrial activities <br />that use these fuels, will also be the ones directly affected by fossil fuel prices rises and potentially supply <br />fluctuations in Eugene. <br /> <br />Why develop a community plan to reduce fossil fuel use? <br />The Portland Peak Oil taskforce report noted that while all the recommendations in the report were important, <br />achieving a significant reduction in oil and natural gas use is a necessity for easing the transition to an energy <br />constrained future. There is increasing global discussion around and demand for reduction of carbon emissions. <br />Since most of the climate changing carbon emissions are from fossil fuel use, the issues of climate change and <br />fossil fuel use are closely linked. A community response to reducing carbon emissions will therefore need to <br /> <br />include widespread reductions of fossil fuel use. <br /> <br />Unemployment is also highlighted in the Portland taskforce report as a major economic and social issue that is <br />likely to increase as fossil fuel prices increase, noting particular concern since social services are already stretched <br />to their limits. The number of vulnerable and marginalized community members are likely to grow, as well as be <br />the first and hardest hit by rising oil prices. <br /> <br />As noted in the Portland Peak Oil taskforce report, a 50 percent reduction in fossil fuel use over the next 25 years <br />is a meaningful goal from the perspectives of both peak oil and climate change. The reduction rate is in accord <br />with the Oil Depletion Protocol which is a proposed international agreement under which nations would reduce <br /> <br /> <br />c <br /> Descending the Oil Peak: Navigating the Transition from Oil to Natural Gas. Report of the City of Portland Peak Oil Task <br />Force, March 2007. <br /> <br />Z:\CMO\2009 Council Agendas\M090209\S090209B.doc <br /> <br />