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in West Eugene would affect the assumptions. Mr. Dedrick replied that it would not have an impact <br />because all of the lands in West Eugene, regardless of their zoning or plan designation, were already <br />removed from the analysis as unbuildable land if they had wetlands on them or were otherwise constrained. <br /> <br />Mr. Clark said there were ongoing discussions about the region’s future economy and questioned how the <br />City could rely on ECLA data if it was not yet certain what its needs would be. He asked how the Parks, <br />Recreation and Open Space (PROS) Plan could be used to determine the need for parks and open space <br />when it had been remanded and was not an official City plan. Mr. Dedrick agreed it was a challenging time <br />for projecting employment needs. The study would use the state’s economic forecast of 1.4 percent growth <br />for Lane County; using a different assumption would require a strong rationale to justify it. He said the <br />PROS Plan could be used as part of the planning process to represent the community’s vision for that level <br />of service. <br /> <br />Mr. Clark asked why the PROS Plan had been remanded. City Attorney Emily Jerome explained that there <br />was a provision in the City’s comprehensive plan that addressed the development and adoption of a parks <br />plan. She confirmed that the plan could be used in the planning process without concern. <br /> <br />Mr. Pryor commented that the agenda materials indicated a significant change in the percentage of single <br />family detached dwellings, going from 84 percent in 2001 to 48 percent in 2008. He asked what explained <br />that change in such a short period of time. Mr. Dedrick said a review of data over the past 20 years <br />indicated a stable average of about 55 percent; the anomaly in the period from 2001 to 2008 would be <br />discussed with the advisory committee. <br /> <br />In response to a question from Mr. Poling, Mr. Dedrick said that constrained land citywide, not just in West <br />Eugene, would be removed from the inventory. <br /> <br />Mr. Zelenka remarked that HB 3337 only required an inventory of residential land and the council directed <br />the inclusion of other land types. He asked if rezoning in West Eugene would have an impact on the <br />analysis. Mr. Dedrick said there were some large parcels that were protected or constrained, but for <br />purposes of the ECLA analysis it was not significant. <br /> <br />Mr. Zelenka expressed concern with using historical trends to plan for the future. He asked if the process <br />could define the future in terms of high, medium and low assumptions. Mr. Dedrick replied that land use <br />decisions could not be based on aspirations; they had to be supported and encouraged by policies. He said <br />the project’s focus was on obtaining reliable baseline assumptions that reflected sound numbers based on <br />reasonable facts. He said once that was done, nothing precluded examining other scenarios, particularly if <br />the inventory identified land needs. He was concerned that broadening the scope of the project at this point <br />would jeopardize complying with the HB 3337 timeframe requirement. <br /> <br />Mr. Zelenka, seconded by Mr. Clark, moved to direct the City Manager to move <br />forward with baseline assumptions so far, expressed as recommended values in <br />column 2 of Attachment C, for the analysis of future employment land needs, resi- <br />dential land needs, and public and semi-public land needs. The motion passed, 7:1; <br />Ms. Taylor voting no. <br /> <br />The meeting adjourned at 7:26 p.m. <br /> <br />Respectfully submitted, <br /> <br /> <br />MINUTES—Eugene City Council April 27, 2009 Page 7 <br /> Work Session <br /> <br />