Ordinance No. 20437 - Laserfiche WebLink

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ATTACHMENT 5 – , n _roc purposes. Those adopted forecasts must then -be used by the cities for urban area planning under OAR 660- C24t=. Lane Code Chapter 16.400(6)(h)(!il)(aa) further requires the Board to make findings that the proposed amendment meets all' applkabte requirements of state and local law, Stafewlde Planning Goals and Oregon Admi ddrative Ruin See Sxh @k B. the findings, for detailed responses to all applicable laws, demonstrating compliance with this criteria. The Oregon Administralitis Rule 660 -024- 0030(2) states: 'forecagsj must take into account documented i mg -fern demographic trends as wag as recent events that have a reasonable likelihood of changing historical trends The . Population forecast Is an estknate which, alllnough based on the bad available Information and methodology, should not be held to an unreasonably hth level of predalon.' Local governments in Oregon have developed and adopted population forecasts for planning purposes since the Inception of the statewide planning program. The forecasts are used, for many purposes including; determining the size of Urban Growth Boundaries (UG13s), Capital Improvement planning, and other planning activities. For exarnlpte, Oregon State planning law (ORS 197295 — 197.295) requires cities to plan for needed halsing to accommodate population growth Inside urban growth boundaries. ORS 197.712 also requires Cities to ensure that sutflclernt land is available in urban growth boundaries for cammercial development and economic growth. Population forecasts are major determinates in these activities.* Coburg, Cottage Grove, oakridge, weamr, buns City, and Florence are not requesting a change to the 2005 adopted, coordinated population forecast for 2030. These dun are only requesting that Lane County include the forecasts adopted by the LCOG Board In February 2005 In the Rural Comprehensive Plan to address the requirements of OAR 6604024-00800) adopted in October 2006. These forecasts are an based on a consideration of bng term demographic trends In these communities, consistent with the requirements of OAR 660-024- 0030 as described In.Appendi x B to the small City PAPA application, the Report on Lane CW* Coordinated Population Forec 2025— 2030 (February 2005 Creswell; Junction City, Lowell, and Veneta are requesting Lane County to adopt Into the Rural Comprehensive Plan figures that have been prepared and subsequently modified to the Projections adopted by the LCOG Board in 2005. Data to support each dVs individual analysis and the methodologtes used to derive the new, updated 2030 population forecasts for them cilles are included in the application In the small oily PAPA application ApQendbr O. Lowell provided additional materfal.)n Appendix F to the application. The 2004105 LCOG c6ordifnated population process Included allocating population to the thirteen cities In the County based on the 2004 Office of Economic Analysis (OFA) forewfor Lane County. Historical population trends were used to compute future population using trend methodology for each city. The future growth trends were applied to a 2004 base UGB population. The 2004 base population was established using city 2004 population data from - Portland state University and housing' unit data from the Regional Land Iritormalion Database (housing units outside city limits but inside the UGB were multiplied by an average household stns and added to the 2004 city Qmit population to arrive at a UGB base populations). _ Odlnma N PA 1 2MIln The MalMrorAmw&v TM L" Cant' R=1 Gw r*wxlve ftR(RCP)7b kdWeACOWbanad P OPWOUPPMec" Wa Lam CMMVMEad2ftWkWW1t1n11WC =W,Ard ft AdcpSokwAndSeymot CINGe. Pogo 5 ATTACHMENT `_-5