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Continuing, Mr. Dedrick pointed out that the table of assumptions for ECLA remained virtually unchanged <br />from the one presented in December 2009, with the exception of parks. He summarized the key land needs, <br />based on the population forecast of 34,000 new people by 2031: <br /> <br />? <br /> 15,000 new dwelling units <br />? <br /> 4,800 new dwelling units need land in excess of supply <br /> Low density – 1,244 acres <br />o <br /> Medium density – 72 acres <br />o <br /> High density – 94 acres <br />o <br />? <br /> Commercial land – 388 acres <br />? <br /> Industrial land – 0 acres <br /> <br />Mr. Dedrick explained that while there was no shortage of industrial land, the majority of that land was in <br />small parcels. Envision Eugene would need to consider the regional economic development plan and site <br />needs of specific industries that would be targeted in the future and that could impact the industrial land <br />need determination. <br /> <br />Mr. Clark asked what unemployment rate was assumed in the projection of 32,000. Mr. Dedrick said the <br />projection was based on the employment forecast and unemployment was factored in by recognizing that <br />some of those jobs would be located in current structures to fill vacancies created by jobs that were lost. <br /> <br />Mr. Clark felt the projection should take the opposite approach and assume that more space was needed to <br />accommodate new jobs that were needed to lower the unemployment rate. Regarding park land, he asked if <br />the City had an acknowledged refinement plan for parks. Mr. Dedrick replied that the Department of Land <br />Conservation and Development (DLCD) had indicated it was appropriate to use the PROS or Project and <br />Priority plan as the basis to establish park land need. He said one of the small groups had suggested the <br />City examine whether it needed a more formally adopted parks plan. City Attorney Emily Jerome said the <br />need for a parks refinement plan was an element of the Metro Plan update adopted by the City Council in <br />2004; the requirement for the plan was self-imposed, not required by the State. She said the data being used <br />to determine park land need was very reliable and she did not feel a parks refinement plan was necessary. <br /> <br />Mr. Clark stated that the primary purpose of incorporating the stormwater manual in the Eugene Code <br />during the minor code amendment process (MICAP) was to define drainage-ways and protect them from <br />development. He was concerned that the CAC’s recommendations indicated the drainage-ways were <br />developable. Mr. Dedrick said Public Works had not yet completed the process of defining drainage-ways, <br />mapping them and setting forth specific protections. He said when that work was completed, whether during <br />Envision Eugene or after, the City would have to make findings regarding impact on the land supply and if <br />the land was determined to be unbuildable it would be removed from the buildable lands inventory. <br /> <br />Ms. Piercy asked if ECLA had accounted for out-migration and a shift to higher density living as the <br />population aged. Mr. Dedrick said the Portland State University population forecast for Lane County took <br />into account a multitude of demographic factors, including in-migration and out-migration. He said the <br />CAC also discussed density and housing choices and whether it was a moment in time when demographics, <br />housing needs and environmental concerns were shifting housing trends, but it was difficult to speculate on a <br />specific outcome. Envision Eugene would consider community housing and density preferences as part of <br />ways to meet the land need. <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />MINUTES—Eugene City Council April 21, 2010 Page 2 <br /> Work Session <br /> <br />