Ordinance No. 20461 - Laserfiche WebLink

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Exhibit A Trends Issues- The region is anticipating significant population and employment growth. The population of the Eugene-Springfield area is expected to grow by 41 percent by [241-5] 2027. Employment in the region is expected to grow by 43 percent during that same period. A forecast of trends during the planning period points to several issues should land use patterns and travel behavior continue as they exist today. Congestion would rise dramatically, increasing the cost of travel and reducing the efficiency of the region's roadway network. Congested miles of travel would increase from 2.8 percent of total miles traveled to 10.6 percent, a 283 percent increase. Vehicle mites traveled per capita would go from 10.99 to 1 1.53, a 7.7 percent increase. One of the primary roles played by public agencies is in the provision of transportation system infrastructure. Without a balanced Opproach to the development of future improvements, little change will be made in the transportation choices available to the region. ' with little improvement in choices, the proportion of drive alone auto trips would increase while the proportion of alternative modes use would decrease. r* Shorter trip distance is one factor that contributes to making the use of alternative modes more attractive. The percentage of total trips under one mile in length would decline by 9.2 percent. Overview of the Regional Transportation System Plan The .Eugene- Springfleld Metropolitan Area Transportation .flan (TransPlan) guides regional transportation system planning and development in the Eugene - Springfield metropolitan area. TransPlan includes provisions for meeting the transportation demand of a pro, 'ected population of 296,500 in the TransPlan Study Area, [ ] while addressing transportation issues and making changes that can contribute to improvements in the region's quality of life and economic vitality. As discussed under the "Participating Agencies, Geographic Area and Planning Period" section of this Chapter, the TransPlan Study Area is an area extending beyond the U B and Metro Plan boundary that is used for transportation modeling purposes. ` There is a great deal of flexibility in choosing how the region's transportation demand is met via supply decisions and demand management strategies. with the balanced and integrated combination of land use, transit, demand management, and bicycle strategies included in . TransPlan, significant progress can be made away from the trends. Notably, while congestion will still increase significantly over existing conditions, TransPlan's proposed combination of strategies will help reduce future congestion by 48 percent over forecasted trends. Com ared to the future Trend Conditions, there will also be: c* . 8 percent less vehicle miles traveled (VMT) per capita, b 20.5 percent more trips under one mile in length, 7 percent fewer drive alone trips, 29 percent more non -auto trips, and 11 percent less carbon monoxide emissions. TransPlan July 2002 Chapter l , Page 2