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HomeMy WebLinkAboutEWEB Electrification PresentationEugene Water & Electric Board City Council –EWEB Meeting February 11, 2019 Outline/Overview Decarbonizing Electricity Energy Complexities Smart Electrification Economy-Wide Decarbonization Energy efficiency & conservation Smart-growth driven VMT reductions Whole-home retrofits & new construction codes Electric heat pumps displacing resistance heat Reduce non- combustion GHGs Methane reductions Replacement of high global warming potential gases Industry process emissions reductions Low-Carbon Energy Supplies Low-carbon electricity Low-carbon biofuels Potentially renewably produced hydrogen Electrification Electrification of industry OR buildings Electrification of passenger vehicles Electrification of trucks and freight transportation Energy Decarbonization Research Pacific Northwest Pathways to 2050 Economy Wide Pacific Northwest Low-Carbon Scenario Analysis Least Cost Policy Options –Electricity Sector Resource Adequacy in the Pacific Northwest Reliability Impacts –Electricity Sector •NEEA RHSA II •EPRI U.S. National Electrification Assessment •ODOE 2018 Biennial Energy Report •Biogas and Renewable Natural Gas Inventory •BPA Sensitivity Analysis •Deep Decarbonization in a high renewables future (CEC) Key/Common Conclusions 1.80% Reduction Below 1990 Levels –Possible/Affordable 2.Best Policy –Price on Carbon (Economy Wide/Technology Neutral) 3.Transportation –Electrify by 2050 4.Decarbonize Northwest grid -Replace coal with Energy Efficiency/Renewables/NGas 5.Resource Reliability –Importance of Mix/Dispatchable Electricity is Regional Time -of-Use Matters Resource Average/ Peak Carbon Content*(MTCO2e/MWh) Carbon Content Ratio Future Carbon Content ( Year 2050) EWEB 0.018 / 0.468 26 X Region 0.297 / 0.472 3.4 X 0.04 / 0.36 (9X) Energy vs. Capacity (Average KWh vs. Peak) Characteristic Energy (Average)Capacity (Peak) PNW Consumption (Year 2050) 35 GWa 52 GW Regional Build Out Required ~ Carbon @ 80% Below 1990 Levels (Coal is Retired) 35 GW Hydro 38 GW Wind (+31GW) 11 GW Solar (+9GW) 24 GW Natural Gas (+12GW) Total Capacity = 118 GW Operational Characteristics 15 GWa Hydro 13 GWa Wind 3 GWa Solar 4 GWa Natural Gas Today’s “Smart” Electrification Characteristics-Based Benefits Region/Entire Energy Cycle Demand-Response Capable Non-Coincidental Peak and/or Diverse TBL (Affordable, Non-Discriminatory/Equitable Access) Respect for Consumer Preference/Choice Industrial Processes Water Heating More Effective Conservation/ Energy Efficiency Transportation Demand Response (Time of Use) Less Effective NGas Space Heating