HomeMy WebLinkAboutAgenda Packet 5-22-19 Work SessionMay 22, 2019, Work Session
EUGENE CITY COUNCIL AGENDA
May 22, 2019
12:00 p.m. CITY COUNCIL WORK SESSION
Harris Hall, 125 East 8th Avenue
Eugene, Oregon 97401
Meeting of May 22, 2019;
Her Honor Mayor Lucy Vinis Presiding
Councilors Betty Taylor, President Emily Semple, Vice President Mike Clark Greg Evans Chris Pryor Claire Syrett Jennifer Yeh Alan Zelenka
12:00 p.m. EUGENE CITY COUNCIL WORK SESSION
Harris Hall, 125 East 8th Avenue
Eugene, Oregon 97401
1. WORK SESSION: Northwest Natural’s Low Carbon Pathway for Eugene
2.WORK SESSION: Franklin Boulevard Transformation Project Update
May 22, 2019, Work Session
For the hearing impaired, an interpreter can be provided with 48 hours' notice prior to the meeting. Spanish-language interpretation will also be provided with 48 hours' notice. To arrange for these services, contact the receptionist at 541-682-5010. City Council meetings are telecast live on Metro Television, Comcast channel 21, and rebroadcast later in the week. El consejo de la Ciudad de Eugene agradece su interés en estos asuntos de la agenda. El lugar de la reunión tiene acceso para sillas de ruedas. Se puede proveer a un intérprete para las personas con discapacidad auditiva si avisa con 48 horas de anticipación. También se puede proveer interpretación para español si avisa con 48 horas de anticipación. Para reservar estos servicios llame al 541-682-5010. Las reuniones del consejo de la ciudad se transmiten en vivo por Metro Television, Canal 21 de Comcast y son retransmitidas durante la semana.
For more information, contact the Council Coordinator at 541-682-5010 or visit us online at www.eugene-or.gov.
May 22, 2019, Work Session - Item 1
EUGENE CITY COUNCIL
AGENDA ITEM SUMMARY
Work Session: Northwest Natural’s Low Carbon Pathway for Eugene Meeting Date: May 22, 2019 Agenda Item Number: 1 Department: Central Services Staff Contact: Ethan Nelson
www.eugene-or.gov Contact Telephone Number: 541-682-5245
ISSUE STATEMENT Northwest Natural will meet with the City Council as follow-up to previous work sessions about NWN’s franchise agreement with the City and Climate Action Plan 2.0 discussions.
BACKGROUND The City’s Climate Recovery Ordinance (Ordinance No: 20567) includes goals to 1) reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 7.6 percent annually through 2100 and 2) reduce fossil fuel use by 50 percent by 2030 compared to 2010 levels. The City is updating its Community CAP2.0 to create a roadmap to achieve the CRO goals. As a part of the CAP2.0 process, Eugene Climate Collaborative partners—including NWN—have shared their greenhouse gas and fossil fuel reduction plans for the next 5-10 years. In addition, City Council is considering additional actions to regulate natural gas that will help the City reach its CRO goals as part of the CAP2.0 and the NWN Franchise Agreement renewal processes. NWN’s presentation will inform the City Council about the work that the company has underway now—including opportunities for energy efficiency and conservation, offsets, and energy supply from renewable natural gas and other innovations like renewable hydrogen. As a reminder, the City Council has most recently held the following work sessions related to natural gas and climate recovery over the past 12 months.
• 01/30/19: Regulation of Natural Gas Work Session and CAP2.0 and ‘Gaps’ update. No Action.
• 01/16/19: Home Energy Score Program Work Session. Council agreed to include the HES program as an option in a more comprehensive CAP2.0 package for review later in the year.
• 11/14/18: NWN Gas Franchise Work Session and CAP Discussion. Council requested that staff develop a ‘Gaps’ Plan to address the projected shortfall between the CAP2.0 process and the goals identified in the CRO.
• 10/08/18: CAP2.0 update. No Action.
• 4/25/18: CAP2.0 update Work Session and EV-Ready Homes Discussion. No Action.
May 22, 2019, Work Session - Item 1
Triple Bottom Line Considerations NWN representatives will address the Triple Bottom Line as part of their presentation.
PREVIOUS COUNCIL DIRECTION At the November 14, 2018, NWN Franchise Work Session and CAP Discussion, City Council requested that staff develop a ‘Gaps’ Plan to address the projected shortfall between the CAP2.0 process and the goals identified in the CRO.
COUNCIL OPTIONS This is an informational item. No action is requested.
CITY MANAGER’S RECOMMENDATION This is an information item only.
SUGGESTED MOTION No motion is provided.
ATTACHMENTS A. Fossil Fuel and Greenhouse Gas Reduction Forecast B. Recommendations for Additional Eugene Climate Actions to Meet Eugene’s CRO Targets and Goals (Gap Analysis)
FOR MORE INFORMATION Staff Contact: Ethan Nelson Telephone: 541-682-5245 Staff E-Mail: enelson@eugene-or.gov
Eugene Community Climate Action Plan2.0
Fossil Fuel and Greenhouse Gas Reduction Forecast, 2018 – 2030
for Existing Plans, Policies, Programs and Opportunities for
Additional Actions Towards CRO Goals
Draft Date: April 18, 2019. Note: Draft results presented are preliminary and are subject to change.
INTRODUCTION
The intent of this memo is to show how close the community gets to accomplishing the Climate
Recovery Ordinance (CRO) fossil fuel targets and greenhouse gas (GHG) goals through existing and
planned actions of the Large Lever Shareholders (LLS). Our team reviewed LLS plans, policies, and
programs, and collected additional data to calculate fossil fuel and GHG emissions reductions. These
are used to forecast emissions between 2018 and 2030 and compare that forecast to CRO targets. In
addition, this memo also provides suggestions for additional community climate actions towards
meeting the goals and targets defined in the CRO.
EUGENE CLIMATE RECOVERY ORDINANCE TARGETS AND GOALS
Updated in 2016, Eugene’s Climate Recovery Ordinance includes the following goals and targets:
Section 6.675 Climate Recovery – Climate Action Goals
(3)By the year 2030, all businesses, individuals, and others living or working in the city collectively
shall reduce the total (not per capita) use of fossil fuels by 50% compared to 2010 usage.
(4) By the year 2100, total community greenhouse gas emissions shall be average share of a global
atmospheric greenhouse gas level of 350ppm, which is estimated in 2016 to require an annual
average emission reduction level of 7.6%.
Section 6.685 Climate Recovery – Targets & Benchmarks
To reach the climate action goals, the city council adopts the targets and benchmarks contained in
subsection (1) of this section, and the city will take other actions that the council determines are necessary,
for achieving the targets, benchmarks and other climate action goals.
The CRO does not clearly define the inventory boundaries that align with CRO goals and targets (i.e.
what geographic boundaries and type of emissions sources are included in the goal). Therefore, Good
Company made a preliminary interpretation for the fossil fuel use targets and report based on both the
Targets and benchmarks:
Reduce fossil fuels 50% (from 2010 levels by 2030)
2020: 25% reduction from 2010
2025: 38% reduction from 2010
2030: 50% reduction from 2010
Annual Average, 2010 - 2030: 2.5% reduction
ATTACHMENT A
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
Eugene CAP2.0 as related to Climate Recovery Ordinance Targets and Goals
Page 2
Eugene Community’s Sector-based and Consumption-based GHG Inventories. Note: Good Company’s
interpretation of the CRO GHG Goal should be considered preliminary and subject to change.
For the purpose of the analysis conducted and presented in this memo the following was assumed:
•CRO fossil fuel targets are based on the fossil fuels combusted within the City’s geographic
boundary plus fossil fuels used to generate electricity that serves retail load within the City’s
Urban Growth Boundary.
•Fossil fuel use for electricity is calculated based on EWEB’s current and planned (2017 IERP
update) supply contracts (market-based electricity accounting). EWEB’s utility-specific GHG
emissions factor (GHGs / MWh) is provided by Oregon Department of Environmental Quality
(ODEQ). ODEQ does not provide a corresponding fossil fuel use factor (MMBTU / MWh) for
EWEB, so one was calculated using ODEQ’s GHG factor and using natural gas electricity
generation as a proxy.
•CRO GHG emissions reduction goals are calculated using 2016 as the baseline year with annual
reductions of 7.6% applied to the prior year, not the baseline year; out to 2100. This rate of
reduction is applied to sector-based and consumption-based emissions. Note: The fossil fuel
use targets and GHG goals have different reduction rates therefore there are slight differences
between fossil fuel use and Sector-based GHG graphics in this memo.
Relationship Between GHG Inventories and CRO Fossil Fuel Target
Figure 1 shows the relationship between the two types of GHG inventories conducted for the Eugene
community (Sector-based and Consumption-based) and Eugene’s CRO Fossil Fuel Target. As can be
seen, the CRO Fossil Fuel Target (CRO Target) is a subset of the Sector-based emissions inventory
(SBEI), which is a subset of the Consumption-based emissions inventory (CBEI). The two types of
inventories conducted for Eugene is consistent with the State of Oregon’s reporting approach. The two
inventory types include:
•Sector-based GHG Inventory (or local GHG emissions) include GHGs from local fossil fuel
combustion (homes and cars) in addition to other local sources of community GHG emissions (e.g.
refrigerant gas leaks, landfill methane, etc.). Sector-based emissions are a subset of the largest
boundary, Consumption-based emissions.
o Local fossil fuel use is the biggest contributor to the communities Sector-based GHGs
(~90%). This boundary is accounted for separately to align with the CRO’s fossil fuel targets.
•Consumption-based GHG Inventory (or local + imported GHG emissions) include local, Sector-
based emissions in addition to “imported” GHG emissions. The imported fraction accounts for
GHGs generated elsewhere to produce and transport the goods and food consumed locally in
Eugene. Consumption-based GHG inventories are more comprehensive view of the Eugene
community’s GHG emissions compared to a Sector-based GHG inventory but are also more difficult
to accurately account for over time (to track progress towards goals) and the sources of emissions
are outside of the Eugene community’s direct control which makes taking action to reduce these
actions more challenging.
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
Eugene CAP2.0 as related to Climate Recovery Ordinance Targets and Goals
Page 3
As can be seen in Figure 1, imported, consumption-based emissions are more than 2x local emissions.
Figure 1: Relationship between GHG inventory types and local fossil fuel use.
Note: Circles in figure not to scale - see right-hand text for scale comparison.
EXISTING POLICY FORECAST FOR LOCAL EMISSIONS (SECTOR-BASED)
Figure 2 compares actual 2010 and 2017 community fossil fuel use and the 2030 forecast fossil fuel use
after currently adopted plans are implemented to the 2030 CRO fossil fuel target. Existing plans are
projected to achieve 40% of the CRO 2030 Target reductions compared to 2010 levels.
Figure 2: Comparison of actual and forecast fossil fuel use to CRO targets.
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
Eugene CAP2.0 as related to Climate Recovery Ordinance Targets and Goals
Page 4
Figure 3 shows Eugene’s Fossil Fuel Reduction Forecast for 2030 in greater detail than Figure 2. The y-
axis minimum is set equal the CRO GHG 2030 Goal (green dashed line).
The first bar (grey) shows 2017 Fossil Fuel use (in millions of British thermal units, MMBTU). The second
bar (blue) shows the increase of fossil fuel use based on a ‘Business as Usual’ (BAU) forecast of GHGs
between 2018 and 2030, which represents the fossil fuel use effect of community population growth. In
Eugene population is expected in increase by about 1% annually between 2018 and 2030. The third bar
(grey) shows 2030 forecast emissions assuming 2017 GHG rates and additional population. The fourth
bar (orange) shows the expected GHG reductions from actions identified through the CAP2.0 process.
For details of included actions see Appendix A, Figure 12. The fifth bar (grey) shows the forecast of
GHGs in 2030 post CAP2.0 implementation of existing policies.
As can be seen, existing CAP2.0 policies are not forecast to achieve CRO fossil fuel use targets. A
“gap” remains equal to about 4.4 million MMBTU of fossil fuel energy use.
Figure 3: Comparison of actual and forecast fossil fuel use to CRO targets.
Figure 4 (next page) shows Eugene’s GHG Reduction Forecast for local, Sector-based GHGs1. The y-axis
minimum is set equal to the CRO GHG 2030 Goal. The bars in Figure 4 are the same as Figure 3,
except that they represent community GHG emissions instead of fossil fuel use (in metric tons of carbon
dioxide equivalent, MT CO2e).
The rates of reduction are different between the Targets (2.5% annually from a 2010 baseline) and the
GHG goals (7.6% annually from a 2016 baseline). It’s important to note that because the GHG goals are
more aggressive than the fossil fuel targets, and that local sources of GHGs are greater than just fossil
1 For details see Eugene’s 2017 Community GHG Inventory. Eugene’s 2015 Community inventory may be downloaded at
https://www.eugene-or.gov/2170/Climate-Recovery-Resources
After accounting for
population growth and CAP
reductions from existing policy
– there remains a 4.4 million
MMBTU gap between the
post-CAP LLS reductions and
the CRO Fossil Fuel 2030
Target (green dotted line).
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
Eugene CAP2.0 as related to Climate Recovery Ordinance Targets and Goals
Page 5
fuel use (e.g. methane from waste disposal, fugitive refrigerant loss, etc.), progress towards the GHG
goal is less than the CRO fossil fuel targets.
As can be seen, existing CAP2.0 policies are not forecast to achieve CRO GHG goals. A “gap” remains
equal to about 470,000 MT CO2e of local GHG emissions.
Figure 4: Sector-based emissions and existing policy forecast.
Note: GHG Goal value in figure based on Good Company CRO interpretation and is subject to change.
Note: GHG Goal value in figure based on Good Company CRO interpretation and is subject to change.
To address the gap, City of Eugene asked Good Company to recommend additional actions to achieve
CRO goals and targets by 2030. See GC memo titled Recommendations for Additional Eugene Climate
Actions to Meet Eugene’s Climate Recovery Ordinance Targets and Goals for a full list of recommended
actions. City staff selected a group of Good Company’s recommended actions.
Figure 5 and Figure 6 show the “gap” actions and scenarios considered.
The top row of Figure 5 lists the local, Sector-based GHG and Fossil Fuel Use gaps (470,000 MT CO2e
and 4.4 million MMBTU respectively). These values correspond to the far right-hand grey bars on
Figures 3 and 4. The lower rows in Figure 5 describe the action and scenario; corresponding GHG /
fossil fuel reduction; and the percentage of the gap addressed by the action/scenario.
Figure 6 graphically presents the same information as Figure 5 for a select group of actions. The left-
hand grey bar is equal to the local, Sector-based CRO gap. The other bars compare the scale of
reduction potential for actions / scenarios to the gap. As can be seen, some of the larger actions include
State of Oregon adoption of a Cap-and-Invest program; community adoption of electric vehicles; and
community participation in Northwest Natural’s Smart Energy program.
After accounting for
population growth and CAP
reductions from existing policy
– there remains a “gap” of
about 470,000 MT CO2e to
reach the CRO 2030 GHG
Goal (green dotted line).
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
Eugene CAP2.0 as related to Climate Recovery Ordinance Targets and Goals
Page 6
Figure 5: Sector-based GHG and Fossil Fuel Use Gap compared to additional actions / scenarios.
Figure 6: Sector-based GHG and Fossil Fuel Use Gap compared to additional actions / scenarios.
Note: NWNG’s Smart Energy program reductions are only applicable to NWNG direct customers and does not include “transport” gas.
NWNG “transports” through its pipelines for Eugene natural gas customers who contract with gas suppliers other than NWNG.
Annual Gap - Sector-based GHGs and Fossil Fuel Use 470,000 MT CO2e 4,400,000 MMBTU
MT CO2e % of Gap MMBTU % of Gap
Building Actions
Scenario 1: NWNG - 50% Reduced NG infrastructure investment (20,000) -4%(300,000) -7%
Scenario 2: NWNG - 100% Reduced NG infrastructure investment (40,000) -9%(700,000) -16%
Scenario 1: NWNG SmartEnergy - 50% participation (140,000)-30%
Scenario 2: NWNG SmartEnergy - 100% participation (270,000)-57%
Scenario 1: NG Appliance Fee, 2020 - 2030 (130,000)-28%(2,400,000) -55%
Scenario 1: Reduce Carbon Intensity of NWNG Product (25% biomethane)(80,000) -17%(1,500,000) -34%
Scenario 2: Reduce Carbon Intensity of NWNG Product (50% biomethane)(160,000) -34%(2,900,000) -66%
Scenario 1: Prohibit Financial Incentives for New NG Equipment More information required
Scenario 1: Increase franchise fee to fuel switch away from NG Not modeled per staff guidance
Scenario 1: Home Energy Score (10,000) -2%80,000 2%
Transportation Actions
Scenario 1: TSP What if 1 (in addition to Adopted)(30,000) -6%(400,000) -9%
Scenario 2: TSP What if 2 (in addition to Adopted)(70,000) -15%(1,000,000) -23%
Scenario 1: 25,000 additional EVs beyond TSP (110,000) -23%(1,300,000) -30%
Scenario 2: 50,000 additional EVs beyond TSP (220,000) -47%(2,500,000) -57%
Scenario 3: 75,000 additional EVs beyond TSP (330,000) -70%(3,800,000) -86%
Produce Use Actions
Scenario 1: Refrigerant recharge fee to purchase carbon offsets for 100% of GHGs (80,000) -17%*Action does not reduce FF use
Waste Actions
Scenario 1: Landfill gas capture efficiency increases by 10%(10,000) -2%*Action does not reduce FF use
Scenario 2: Landfill gas capture efficiency increases by 25%(20,000) -4%
Overarching Action
Scenario 1: Oregon Cap-and-Invest (Draft SB 557, Section 4 goals)
Note: An Oregon Cap-and-Invest program would reduce climate impacts in
Eugene using many of the same LLS actions already considered and counted in
the LLS forecast. Therefore GHG reductions a Cap-and-Invest policy should not
be viewed as wholly independent and additive to existing LLS actions. The Cap-
and-Invest program will be complimentary - providing regulatory and financial
support towards climate action, but the reductions presented in this row are not
100% additive to reductions previously presented for existing LLS actions.
(430,000)
Indeterminate.
Cap-and-Invest
reductions overlap
with other LLS and
gap filling actions
(7,200,000)
Indeterminate.
Cap-and-Invest
reductions overlap
with other LLS and
gap filling actions
*This column shows
max cumulative
potential in 2030
*This column shows
max cumulative
potential in 2030
*Action does not reduce FF use
*Action does not reduce FF use
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
Eugene CAP2.0 as related to Climate Recovery Ordinance Targets and Goals
Page 7
Figure 7 presents projected 2030 Eugene GHGs, post-implementation of HB2020. HB2020 is actively in
the legislative process as of this report writing. The introduced text2, and specifically the goals in
Section 1, are used to estimate GHG reductions. To estimate reduction for Eugene it is assumed that
citizens of Eugene (on a per capita) basis will be required to reduce emissions at the same rate and in
the same amount as all other Oregonians towards the goals stated in Section 1 of HB2020.
The scaling below may overestimate the mitigation reductions due to assumed electricity emissions
reduction potential based on higher statewide electricity emissions than EWEB’s very-low emissions
electricity. Alternatively, the Cap and Trade program, could recognize Eugene’s unique lower carbon
electricity sector and finance deeper mitigations for transportation than in other communities to ensure
the overall reductions per capita are roughly even around the state.
Figure 7: Eugene’s 2017 sector-based GHGs and estimated effects in 2030 post-HB2020 implementation.
Note: The following figure is meant to provide a sense of scale comparison to show how emissions reductions from
HB2020 might impact Eugene’s community emissions. This comparison is preliminary and should not be used for
community planning purposes until the final bill language is available.
EXISTING POLICY FORECAST FOR LOCAL+IMPORTED EMISSIONS (CONSUMPTION-BASED)
Figure 8 shows Eugene’s 2013 consumption-based emissions of goods and food; projected growth
based on 2017 emissions rates and population increases; and forecast reductions from existing, already
adopted policy. Note that Figures 3 and 4 (Sector-based) are subsets and included in the consumption-
based emissions presented in Figure 7 (Consumption-based).
2 Downloaded 4/2019 from https://olis.leg.state.or.us/liz/2019R1/Measures/Overview/HB2020.
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200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
2017 2030 BAU
w/population
increases
2030 Forecast
with HB2020
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May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
Eugene CAP2.0 as related to Climate Recovery Ordinance Targets and Goals
Page 8
As can be seen, existing CAP2.0 policies are not forecast to achieve CRO GHG goals. A “gap” remains
equal to about 1.7 million MT CO2e of local + imported GHG emissions. As the City and community
consider the consumption-based GHG gap, it’s important to reiterate that the “imported” fraction of
consumption-based GHGs are produced largely outside of the Eugene community’s control.
While there are point of purchase decisions and actions that members of the Eugene community can
make to reduce the community’s consumption-based emissions (such as buying used products instead
of new or choosing lower-carbon foods) – there is no currently known way to reduce Eugene
consumption-based emissions to zero outside of domestic and international climate policies. If the City /
community were to select consumption-based GHGs as the basis for CRO goals it will require the
community devising a means to influence or control the energy systems in other states and counties to
reduce the GHGs generated in those places as they produce goods for consumption here. It’s
important to recognize that there isn’t any precedent for consumption-based emissions being used as
the basis for community goal setting or action planning.
Figure 8: Consumption-based emissions and existing policy forecast.
Note: GHG Goal value in figure based on Good Company CRO interpretation and is subject to change.
Figure 9 and Figure 10 show the “gap” actions and scenarios considered for consumption-based
emissions. Since Sector-based GHGs are a subset of Consumption-based emissions, previously
discussed Sector-based actions are also a means to reduce Consumption-based emissions.
The top row of Figure 9 lists the Consumption-based GHG gap (1.7 million MT CO2e). This value
corresponds to the far right-hand grey bar on Figure 7. The lower rows describe the action and
scenario; corresponding GHG reduction; and the percentage of the gap addressed by the
action/scenario.
After accounting for
population growth and CAP
reductions from existing policy
– there remains a “gap” of
about 1.7 million MT CO2e to
reach the CRO 2030 GHG
Goal (green dotted line).
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
Eugene CAP2.0 as related to Climate Recovery Ordinance Targets and Goals
Page 9
Figure 9: Sector-based GHG and Fossil Fuel Use Gap compared to additional actions / scenarios.
Figure 10 graphically presents the same information as Figure 9 (for a select group of actions). The left-
hand grey bar is equal to the local, Sector-based CRO gap. The other bars compare the scale of
reduction potential for actions / scenarios to the gap. As can be seen, some of the larger actions include
U.S. remaining in the Paris Climate Accord; community adoption of electric vehicles; community
participation in Northwest Natural’s Smart Energy program; lower-GHG food choices; and reduction in
the amount of edible food waste.
One action of note on Figure 10, is U.S. participation in the Paris Climate Accord and the significance of
domestic and international climate policy in general. The U.S. is currently in the process of withdrawing
from the Paris Climate Accord. Oregon imports about 44% of its goods from U.S. states outside of
Oregon.3 If the U.S. were to remain in the Accord, the reductions required by the Accord would have
had the effect of reducing GHGs from U.S. energy systems thereby lowering the amount of GHGs
emitted during the production of the goods imported from other U.S. states into Eugene.
Eugene’s consumption-based emissions are primarily a function of the fuels used to generate the
energy used to produce goods imported to Eugene for local consumption. Because Eugene has limited
control over other states’ Energy systems – Federal climate policy, or state level policy in other states is
required if Eugene is to reach CRO goals for consumption-based emissions.
3 Oregon’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions through 2015. Available for download at
https://www.oregon.gov/deq/FilterDocs/OregonGHGreport.pdf.
Annual Gap - Consumption-based GHG Gap 1,700,000 MT CO2e
MT CO2e % of Gap
Consumption and Materials Management Actions
Reduce the average size of new single-family homes (from 2,300 to 1,600 sqft.)(50,000) -3%
Eugene optimizes the solid waste system to minimize GHGs (90,000) -5%
Scenario 1: 25% of community reduces meat and dairy by 25%(10,000) -1%
Scenario 2: 50% of community reduces meat and dairy by 50%(40,000) -2%
Scenario 3: 100% of community reduces meat and dairy by 100%(170,000) -10%
Community reduces 100% of edible food waste (50,000) -3%
Community reduces the carbon intensity of concrete products
U.S. Remains in Paris Accord (550,000) -32%
*This column shows
max cumulative
potential in 2030
Data not readily available
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
Eugene CAP2.0 as related to Climate Recovery Ordinance Targets and Goals
Page 10
Figure 10: Sector-based GHG and Fossil Fuel Use Gap compared to additional actions / scenarios.
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
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Page 11
APPENDIX A – EXISTING POLICY FORECAST DETAILS
Fossil fuel and GHG reductions are calculated in four ways for this memo, which are illustrated in Figure
11 and presented in Figure 12. “Year 1” represents reductions expected during the first year of project
implementation. “Average Annual” is the
annual average of reductions over the life
of the action. “Maximum Annual” is the
maximum annual reduction in 2030. For
some projects, like wastewater biomethane
to the natural gas pipeline, Year 1, Average,
and Maximum values will all be very similar
because almost all of the benefit is realized
the moment the system is turned on and
every year after for the action. Other
actions accumulate over time, such as
annual work done to improve the energy
efficiency of our community’s buildings.
These will have different Year 1 and
Maximum values because budgets require
that the actions are implemented over time.
The following documents and tools were
used to calculate reductions. Additional details in Appendix B.
• City of Eugene’s 2010 and 2017 Sector-based Community Greenhouse Gas Inventories
• City of Eugene’s 2013 Consumption-based Community Greenhouse Gas Inventory
• Portland State University – Population estimates and Lane County Population Forecast
• EWEB Integrated Energy Resource Plan – 2017 update
• NWN’s 2018 Integrated Resource Plan
• Eugene 2035 Transportation System Plan (specifically a memo titled “Eugene Transportation System Plan
as it Relates to Climate Recovery Ordinance Goals”)
• City of Eugene, Fleet Internal Climate Action Plan
• City of Eugene, Facilities GHG Reduction Analysis
• Oregon Senate Bill 263 (2015) – Updates to Opportunity to Recycle Act
• City of Eugene / Good Company GHG inventory and analysis for road materials
• Lane County data related to landfill diversion rates and plans for 2025 goal
• Environmental Protection Agency, Waste Reduction Model (v14)
• Interviews with City’s staff related to urban forestry
• Oregon’s Waste Composition Study for Lane County
• Good Company GHG analysis of wastewater biomethane utilization pathways for MWMC
• City of Eugene Love Food Not Waste program data
• Lane Community College, DRAFT 2018 Climate Action Plan
• Envision Eugene, Residential housing projections
• Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, Oregon’s 2018 Greenhouse Gas Inventory
• Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, EWEB emissions coefficients
• Environmental Protection Agency, eGRID 2016
Figure 11: Illustration of GHG reduction over time.
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
Eugene CAP2.0 as related to Climate Recovery Ordinance Targets and Goals
Page 12
• Energy Information Administration’s 2017 Annual Energy Outlook
• Many other organizational documents were reviewed but were not used for reduction calculations. Thank
you to everyone who provided information.
Figure 12: Detailed summary of existing plans, by lead organization. For some of the line items, like
the Eugene TSP, implementation will be delivered by multiple agencies.
*Note – Eugene TSP incorporates aspects of other LLS plans and policies (e.g. LTD planning, Envision
Eugene, etc.)
Year 1
Potential
Average
Annual
2018 - 2030
Maximum
Potential,
2030
Cumulative
Potential
2018 - 2030
Year 1
Potential
Average
Annual
2018 - 2030
Maximum
Potential,
2030
Cumulative
Potential
2018 - 2030
Eugene Water and Electric Board (EWEB)
Future Energy Conservation (market-based)(200)(1,000)(2,500)(17,000)(3,700)(14,000)(27,000)(190,000)
Future Energy Conservation (location-based)(4,000)(22,000)(44,000)(290,000)Not applicable to CRO target
Operational Fleet / Facilities Climate Action (1,000)(1,000)(2,000)(8,000)(7,000)(8,000)(20,000)(290,000)
Northwest Natural (NWN)
Future Conservation (cost effective resources only)(1,100)(8,000)(15,000)(100,000)(21,000)(150,000)(280,000)(1,960,000)
Cost Effective (1,100)(8,000)(15,000)(100,000)(21,000)(150,000)(280,000)(1,960,000)
Achievable (85% of total)(1,500)(16,000)(19,000)(140,000)(28,000)(200,000)(360,000)(2,540,000)
Technical Total (1,700)(5,201)(23,000)(160,000)(33,000)(230,000)(430,000)(2,990,000)
Smart Energy Program (5% participation rate)(3,000)(12,000)(15,000)(155,000)Not applicable to CRO target
Operational Reduction of Local Distribution Loss (30)(200)(400)(2,500)(50)(300)(2,500)(17,000)
City of Eugene
Eugene 2035 Transportation System Plan*(10,000)(90,000)(240,000)(1,200,000)(160,000)(1,100,000)(2,800,000)(26,600,000)
Envision Eugene Included in Eugene TSP modeling and Future Conservation
Food Materials Management (5,300)(5,900)(6,000)(74,200)Not applicable to CRO target
Food Waste Composting (2,900)(3,200)(3,300)(40,500)
Food Waste Avoidance (2,400)(2,700)(2,700)(33,700)
City Operational Reductions (1,200)(2,000)(4,000)(34,000)(23,400)(40,000)(57,000)(520,000)
City Operational - Facilities (1,000)(1,000)(1,000)(15,000)(21,000)(22,000)(23,000)(281,000)
City Operational - Fleet (200)(1,000)(3,000)(19,000)(3,000)(18,000)(34,000)(239,000)
Roads - Materials Management (1,300)(1,300)(1,300)(16,700)(5,100)(5,100)(5,100)(66,000)
Urban Forest (340)(2,100)(3,700)(27,500)Not applicable to CRO target
30% Tree Canopy Goal (300)(2,000)(3,000)(26,000)
World Track and Field - Tree Planting Offsets (40)(200)(300)(2,000)
Lane County
Material Management - 63% Recovery by 2035 (87,000)(88,000)(90,000)(440,000)Not applicable to CRO target
Electric Vehicles in County Fleet Not calculated. See Eugene > Fleet for sense of scale
Roads - Materials Management Not calculated. See Eugene > Roads for sense of scale
INFO ONLY: Anaerobic Digestion of Food Waste (2,900)(3,000)(3,100)(18,000)(40,000)(41,000)(42,000)(246,000)
4J and Bethel School Districts
Food Waste Composting Supports and included with City of Eugene > Food 0 0 0 0
Bus Fleet & Fuels Included in Eugene TSP modeling Included in Eugene TSP modeling
Lane Community College
INFO ONLY: DRAFT Climate Action Plan Goals (610)(6,400)(7,900)(55,000)(9,900)(104,000)(129,000)(900,000)
Facilities (100)(600)(700)(5,200)(1,100)(11,200)(13,900)(97,300)
Owned Fleet (10)(70)(80)(590)(120)(1,290)(1,590)(11,160)
Student Commute (500)(4,800)(6,000)(42,000)(8,700)(91,300)(113,100)(791,500)
University of Oregon
Climate Action Plan Goals UO CAP is being updated
Metropolitan Wastewater Management
Biogas to NG pipeline (project with NWN)(6,000)(5,000)(7,000)(69,000)(82,000)(86,000)(90,000)(944,000)
Lane Transit District
Fleet & Fuels (electric bus substitution)(100)(400)(900)(4,700)(11,700)(49,600)(49,600)(645,300)
Route Efficiency LTD to analyze in 2019
State of Oregon
Net-Zero Residential Building Code (1,300)(1,500)(6,400)(19,300)(27,400)(31,600)(136,800)(410,400)
Net-Zero Commercial Building Code (2,500)(2,800)(12,300)(36,800)(40,900)(47,200)(204,700)(614,000)
Clean Fuels Program Included in Eugene TSP modeling Not applicable to CRO target
International Agreements
Paris Climate Accord (reductions by trading partners)(20,000)(150,000)(270,000)(1,890,000)Not applicable to CRO target
Large Lever Shareholders
Plans and Strategy Bundles
Greenhouse Gas (MT CO2e)Fossil Fuel Use (MMBTU)
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
APPENDIX B: METHODOLOGY AND ASSUMPTIONS
Large Lever Shareholder Methodology Description Assumptions
Existing Policy / Strategy / Action
Eugene Water and Electric Board (EWEB)
Future Conservation (Energy Efficiency)Energy reduction calculated based on 2017 Annual IERP Update - Figure 1. The Figure shows
that EWEB's future conservation will maintain electricity use at current levels through 2035.
Roughly a 7% reduction from EWEB's 2017 BAU forecast. GHGs were calculated using both
market-based and location-based emissions factors. Market-based factors are provided by
Oregon Department of Environmental Quality based on EWEB supply contracts that serve
local load for calendar years 2010 - 2016. The average of EWEB's 2010 - 2016 factors are
used to project reductions from 2018 - 2030. Location-based factors are taken from U.S.
Energy Information Administration's 2017 Annual Energy Outlook - 2050 projections for the
Northwest Power Pool regional electricity grid.
- The average of EWEB's 2010 - 2016 market-based emissions factors is used to
calculate GHG / fossil fuel reductions from future conservation for the years 2018 -
2030.
- Fossil fuel factor for EWEB is calculated using the market-based factor (from
ODEQ) and an assumption that the electricity is generated 100% from natural gas.
ODEQ does not currently provide fossil fuel factors for specific utilitiies, only GHG
factors.
Operational Climate Action (EWEB-owned buildings and vehicles)EWEB's operational climate goals (50% fossil fuel reduction by 2030, and carbon neutral by
2050) are used in combination with EWEB's 2017 inventory to calculate future emissions
reductions. EWEB's most recent GHG inventory shows they are ahead of schedule towards
meeting their goals (http://www.eweb.org/Documents/Community/2017-ghg-inventory.PDF)
- EWEB achieves goals as written assuming average annual percentage progress
towards the goals.
- Future reductions exclude those from EWEB's decommissioning of the steam
plant as those reductions are already accounted for in the 2017 Eugene Community
Inventory.
- Future reductions assume EWEB will continue purchaseing low-carbon vehicle
fuels at current rates as well as take on additional actions in order to reach EWEB's
state fossil fuel and GHG related goals.
Northwest Natural Gas (NWNG)
Future Conservation (Energy Efficiency)NWNG provided Energy Trust of Oregon reporting on conservation in Eugene for the period
2011 - 2017. Average annual conservation over that period is 214,000 therms per year. This
average is applied to the 2018 - 2030 period to estimate additional future conservation. The
range over this period was between 100,000 - 380,000 therms. On average ETO efficiency
projects serve about 550 residential households, 35 commercial businesses, and 2 large-scale
industrial / agricultural customers. ETO savings are assumed to be "cost effective" measures
(i.e. those that pay for themselves and save money over the life of the equipment). There are
also additional types of future conservation potential assessed by ETO called "achievable"
and "technical". ETO's 2014 Resource Assessment is used to estimate additional local
conservation resources that are more expensive that the "cost effective" category, but still
represent an opportunity to reduce emissions and fossil fuel use.
- Assumes future conservation is implemented at a similar rate as the 2011 - 2017
period.
- See NWNG's 2018 Integrated Resource Plan for additional details
https://www.nwnatural.com/uploadedFiles/NW%20Natural%202018%20IRP.pdf
Smart Energy Program (5% participation)2030 maximum reduction GHG / fossil fuel potential is calculated as 5% of annual emissions
as projected for 2030. 2030 projected natural gas use is estimated with 2017 community
natural gas use data scaled up 1% annually for the period 2018 - 2030 to account for
projected population growth. Eugene community natural gas-related GHGs / fossil fuel use
are taken from Eugene's 2017 Community Greenhouse Gas Inventory. Population growth
projections are taken from Portland State University's Lane County Coordinated Population
Forecast, 2015-2065.
- Community participation rate is 5% in 2030. This assumption was discussed and
agreed upon with NWNG staff for the purpose of the existing policy forecast.
Operational Climate Action (5% upstream GHG reduction)NWNG Climate Action Plan / Goal includes actions to plans to reduce upstream leakage of
natural gas by 5%. This goal is applied to GHGs/fossil fuel use for the local distribution system
as well as for the entire supply chain. Local distribution system loss estimated is reported by
NWNG as 0.0061%. As a benchmark EDF User Guide for Natural Gas Leakage Rate Modeling
Tool suggests an average value of 0.3% (https://www.edf.org/sites/default/files/US-Natural-
Gas-Leakage-Model-User-Guide.pdf). So NWNG's local distribution system has far less
leakage than the average. Total natural gas supply chain loss emissions are estimated using
factors from ICLEI's U.S. Community GHG Inventory Protocol (i.e. upstream NG emissions are
equal to about 12% of tailpipe emissions. 2030 projected natural gas use is estimated with
2017 community natural gas use data scaled up 1% annually for the period 2018 - 2030 to
account for projected population growth. Eugene community natural gas-related GHGs /
fossil fuel use are taken from Eugene's 2017 Community Greenhouse Gas Inventory.
Population growth projections are taken from Portland State University's Lane County
Coordinated Population Forecast, 2015-2065.
- Upstream emissions are calculated using the rates and sources previously
described in methodology.
- NWNG 5% planned reduction is assumed to be implemented in equal shares over
the period of 17 years, 2019 - 2035.
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
Eugene CAP2.0 as related to Climate Recovery Ordinance Targets and Goals
Page 14
Large Lever Shareholder Methodology Description Assumptions
Existing Policy / Strategy / Action
City of Eugene
Envision Eugene / Transportation System Plan The CAP forecast uses the results from a previous modeling effort for Eugene's 2035
Transportation System Plan conducted by Lane Council of Governments, City of Eugene, and
Oregon Department of Transportation staff. These results were presented in a 2/8/2018
memo titled Eugene Transportation System Plan as it Relates to Climate Recovery Ordinance
Goals. The TSP modeling work considered three scenarios; 1) Adopted plans, 2) What if 1,
and 3) What if #2. The "What if" scenarios consider similar actions as the adopted plans at a
larger-scale and faster rate. Modeling results provided projected reductions for both GHGs
and Fossil Fuel use.
- Assumptions are identical to those documented in the ODOT modeling analysis
Food Waste - Avoiding Edible Waste and Composting Oregon Department of Environmental Quality's Waste Composition Study provides food
waste quantities including the edible fraction of food waste
(https://www.oregon.gov/deq/mm/Pages/Waste-Composition-Study.aspx). EPA's WARM v14
(waste reduction model) is used to calculate GHG reductions
(https://www.epa.gov/warm/versions-waste-reduction-model-warm#WARM%20Tool%20V14).
- 25% of food waste will be recovered from the waste stream by 2030 to comply
with the requirements of Oregon SB263.
- 5% of edible food waste is avoided by the community at large as a result of City /
County public outreach and education along with other related programming.
Operational Climate Action - Fleet Good Company worked with City of Eugene to develop the 2018 Fleet Division and Fire
Department Internal Climate Action Plan . The plan focuses first use of telematics to drive
operational efficiency and substitution of electricity for gasoline and renewable diesel for
fossil fuel diesel. As of 2017 the City is about 60% towards the CRO's 2020 GHG goals and
90% towards the 2030 fossil fuel goals. The Fleet ICAP details the projected GHG and fossil
fuel savings for various actions considered for the plan as well as the final scenario and actions
selected to reach CRO goals and targets.
- See Fleet ICAP report for findings and details of modeling methodologies and
assumptions (https://www.eugene-or.gov/DocumentCenter/View/38211).
Operational Climate Action - Facilities Solarc worked with City of Eugene to develop the 2017 Facilities Greenhouse Gas Reduction
Analysis . Opportunities considered in the Analysis include energy efficiency, solar energy, as
well as substitution of heat pumps for existing natural gas boilers. The Analysis includes
projections for GHG and fossil fuel reductions as well as first costs and operational costs
associated with a variety of actions to achieve CRO goals and targets.
- See Facilities ICAP report for findings and details of modeling methodologies and
assumptions (https://www.eugene-or.gov/DocumentCenter/View/37360).
- Scenario 3 from the Facilities GHG Analysis is used to represent City Facilities
reductions in the CAP Forecast.
Road Construction - Low-GHG Material Use Good Company worked with City of Eugene Public Works staff to collect materials-related
data used in City construction projects and develop a simple Excel-based tool to calculate
GHG reductions associated with substitution of lower-GHG materials for conventional cement
and asphalt binder. The Excel-based tool utilizes factors from environmental product
disclosures from National Ready Mixed Concrete Association
(https://www.nrmca.org/sustainability/EPDProgram/) as well as Circular Ecology's Inventory of
Climate and Energy (http://www.circularecology.com/embodied-energy-and-carbon-footprint-
database.html).
- The analysis uses average, past GHG reductions and assumes similar results going
forward.
30% Tree Canopy Goal The amount of carbon currently stored in Eugene urban forest is provided by City of Eugene
via a report using the i-Tree Landscape tool (https://landscape.itreetools.org/report/ef5518cd-
7698-47a3-a372-16e29d228a77/sample/). Currently stored carbon is representative of 23%
canopy coverage. A carbon to canopy ratio is used to estimate the additional carbon that will
be stored by increasing the urban canopy to 30%. Note that these calculations only include
carbon storage in the trees and do not include estimates of energy savings associated with
shading from the additional canopy coverage.
- Eugene's urban tree canopy increases from 23% to 30% coverage by 2030
- Carbon storage in additional trees is at similar rates to existing
World Track and Field - Tree Planting This action is aligned with the City's commitment to plan 2021 trees to offset emissions and
commemorate the 2021 World Track event to be held in Eugene. The method and factors for
calculating carbon storage in the additional trees is provided by U.S. Dept. of Energy's
Method for Calculating Carbon Sequestration by Trees in Urban and Suburban Settings .
- Tree type is assumes to be a fast growing conifer for all 2,021 trees
- Carbon storage for these trees is limited to the growth period 2021 - 2030.
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
Eugene CAP2.0 as related to Climate Recovery Ordinance Targets and Goals
Page 15
Large Lever Shareholder Methodology Description Assumptions
Existing Policy / Strategy / Action
Lane Community College
DRAFT Climate Action Plan Lane Community College's DRAFT Climate Action Plan has set a goal of carbon neutral
operations by 2050. LCC's goal combined with LCC's most recent GHG inventory is used to
estimate reductions in 2050 versus GHGs reporting in the baseline inventory.
- Assumes LCC will meet climate goals as written
- Assumes an equal, average rate of reduction between 2017 to 2050. CAP
Forecast only includes reductions for time period 2019 - 2030.
University of Oregon
DRAFT Climate Action Plan CAP still in development as of 2/2019.
Metropolitan Wastewater Management
Biogas to NG pipeline (project with NWN)Good Company worked with MWMC staff to perform a detailed GHG analysis and scenario
comparison for a variety of potential uses for the community's wastewater treatment
generated biogas supply. The analysis results are for the MWMC selected scenario, which is
to inject the biogas into NWNG's pipeline to be used as a vehicle fuel. The GHG analysis
considered all energy and process emissions sources required to produce the biogas, refine
to biomethane quality, and credits the fuel for displacing conventional fossil diesel fuel.
- 100% of MWMC biogas is cleaned and injected into NWNG's pipeline
- End-use for 100% of the biogas is to displace vehicle diesel fuel use
Lane Transit District
Fleet & Fuels LTD 2013 fuel use data - from the Eugene's 2013 Community Inventory - for buses is used in
conjunction with ODEQ fuel carbon intensity scores to estimate reductions associated with
shifting 50% of LTD's diesel use (B5) to Springfield Utility Board (SUB) electricity. Carbon
intensity scores are provided by Oregon Department of Environmental Quality to support
accounting for Oregon's Clean Fuels Program. NOTE: ODEQ's CI score for SUB electricity
uses market-based accounting.
- By 2030 11 of LTD's 90 buses are fueled with electricity (or a comparable low-
GHG fuel type). This subsitution is estimated to reduce LTD bus fuel use by about
10% from current levels.
State of Oregon
Net-Zero Residential Building Code Planned net-zero building codes will apply to future, yet-to-be constructed properties.
Mitigation potential is calculated based on Eugene's average 2017 household emissions for
energy. Average household emissions are calculated using Eugene's 2017 Community GHG
Inventory and U.S. Census Bureau data. The number of new housing starts predicted for 2025 -
2032 is provided in a report titled Eugene Housing Needs Analysis prepared to support
Envision Eugene. The study finds that roughly 15,000 new housing units are required in
Eugene between 2012 - 2032. To estimate GHG / fossil fuel reductions for this actions, new
housing starts projected for the 2025 - 2030 time period are assumed to have zero-net energy
and GHGs. These reductions are only calculated for the period 2025 - 2030, but the
reductions associated with this code will span the 70 year life of these new structures.
- Net-zero energy is equal to net-zero GHGs
- New codes are implemented in 2025
- Assumed to not be included in existing EWEB load projections
- Eugene housing needs, as defined in the analysis, are developed at a consistent
rate over the study time period (i.e. 15,000 / 20 years = 750 units / year)
- Composition of housing types are consistent with Table 28 in the Eugene Housing
Needs Analysis
Net-Zero Commercial Building Code Planned net-zero building codes will apply to future, yet-to-be constructed properties.
Development projections for future, additional commercial space needs are not readily
available. Future commercial building energy use are estimated for the period, 2019 - 2030
using 2017 commercial building emissions rates scaled up using a 1% annual compounding
growth rate to account for new community population. Population growth projections are
taken from Portland State University's Lane County Coordinated Population Forecast, 2015-
2065. To estimate GHG / fossil fuel reductions for this actions, new housing starts projected
for the 2025 - 2030 time period are assumed to have zero-net energy and GHGs. These
reductions are only calculated for the period 2025 - 2030, but the reductions associated with
this code will span the 70 year life of these new structures.
- Net-zero energy is equal to net-zero GHGs
- New codes are implemented in 2025
- Assumed to not be included in existing EWEB load projections
- Commercial building development and related energy needs are assumed to be
equal to projected population growth
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
Note: This document is a summary from a more extensive report from Good Company, but summarized by City
of Eugene staff for purposes of discussion with City Council.
Recommendations for Additional Eugene Climate Actions
to Meet Eugene’s Climate Recovery Ordinance Targets and Goals
Opportunities to Close the Fossil Fuel and Sector
based Gap
Existing Fossil Fuel Gap
The CRO’s fossil fuel target is a 50% reduction in community fossil
fuel use in 2030 compared to a 2010 baseline or an average annual
reduction of 2.5% per year between 2010 and 2030. Eugene’s
community 2010 fossil fuel use was equal to about 14.4 MMBTU. To
meet the CRO’s fossil fuel target (50% reduction by 2030 compared to
2010), Eugene’s annual community fossil fuel consumption will need
to be equal to or less than 7.2 MMBTU in 2030. Eugene’s 2030
forecast, which adjusts for community population increases and
CAP2.0 large‐lever shareholder (LLS) reductions, is projected to be
11.6 MMBTU, which leaves a gap of about 4.5 MMBTU that will need
to be addressed with additional actions to reach the CRO targets.
Existing Sector‐based Gap
The CRO’s greenhouse gas goal (GHG Goal) is an average annual emissions reduction of 7.6% to 2100 beginning
in 2016. Eugene’s 2017 Community Sector‐based GHGs are equal to about 1,000,000 MT CO2e. Based on rate
specified in by the CRO GHG Goal, Eugene’s Sector‐based emissions will need to be equal to or less than 360,000
MT CO2e in 2030. Eugene’s 2030 forecast with CAP 2.0 reductions is projected to be 830,000 MT CO2e, which
leaves a gap of about 450,000 MT CO2e that will need to be addressed with additional actions to reach the CRO
targets.
Figure 1: Local GHG Gap (Sector‐based) compared to additional actions / scenarios.
ATTACHMENT B
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
Eugene CAP 2.0 – CRO Reduction Forecast Gaps Analysis
Page 2
Recommended Additional Actions to Close the Fossil Fuel and GHG Gaps.
Sector‐based Actions (fossil fuel only):
Natural Gas in buildings actions (from Regulation of Natural Gas work session)
o Action 1: Limit or prohibit new natural gas infrastructure.
o Action 2: Require NWNG to incentivize customers’ reduced use of natural gas or customers’ purchase
of emission offsets provided by NWNG’s Smart Energy Program.
o Action 3: Regulate the purchase and installation of natural gas fueled appliances.
o Action 4: Prohibit financial incentives for installing natural gas service.
o Action 5: Prohibit financial incentives for purchasing natural gas appliances.
o Action 6: Prohibit installation of natural gas service for new residential, commercial and/or industrial
buildings.
o Action 7: Require NWNG to fuel switch to biogas and renewable hydrogen.
o Action 8: Increase franchise fee and dedicate franchise fee funds to implementing a program that
provides incentives to switch from natural gas to renewable.
o Action 9: Reduce the term of the franchise from 20 years to 10 years.
o Action 10: Create a hybrid franchise fee structure: 1) fixed portion; and 2) variable fee based on
carbon footprint of the natural gas delivered to the community.
o Action 11: Prohibit the expansion of natural gas services unless NWNG can demonstrate plan to
decarbonize its product.
Additional Building Actions (from Council Home Energy Score work session)
o Action 12: Implement a Home Energy score program.
Transportation‐Gasoline/Diesel Actions
o Action 13: City adopts more aggressive rate of implementation of the Eugene Transportation
System Plan goals, policies, and projects. Two scenarios have been modeled by LCOG and used for
this analysis. Of note, as Council considers additional actions to fill CRO gaps, it is important to
highlight the assumption that Eugene’s TSP would have to be fully implemented by 2035 to reach CRO
targets and goals.
Existing, Obama era fuel economy standards are included in TSP modeling. Considering the current
approach on these standards by the Federal government we assume that what is already included
the modeling is “aggressive”.
o Action 14: Electrify the community’s on‐road passenger vehicles and light trucks as rapidly as
possible, potentially via the following approaches.
City of Eugene works with partners (EWEB, ODOE, ODEQ, UO) to promote and enhance
local financial incentives, and bulk EV purchases in a way that aligns community passenger
vehicle EV adoption rates with CRO targets.
A new vehicle registration fee or fuel distribution fee for City of Eugene on fossil fuel vehicles
(gasoline and diesel) or fuels. Fee revenue could be used to provide additional local EV
incentives.
Prohibit the sale of fossil fuel powered passenger vehicles in Eugene after 2030.
Other Policy and non‐fossil fuel actions
o Action 15: Reduce refrigerant loss through possible approaches such as: new service fee for
refrigerant re‐charge of systems due to leakage. Fee is based on global warming potential of the
refrigerant lost. New fee or tax on new refrigeration equipment that contains high impact
refrigerants. Credit programs for recycling/decommissioning of older refrigeration equipment.
o Action 16: Capture methane from organics before disposal and/or additional effort to increase the
efficiency and quantity of landfill or wastewater biogas collection.
o Action 17: Oregon Cap‐and‐Trade program is implemented.
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
Eugene CAP 2.0 – CRO Reduction Forecast Gaps Analysis
Page 3
Cost Information Summary:
Action 1,4,6, and 11
o Source: https://www.eia.gov/consumption/residential/data/2015/c&e/pdf/ce4.20.pdf
See the values provided in the “Main Heating Fuel” section of the Table CE4.20
o Utility infrastructure costs are unknown
o Residential Equipment costs – Assumed to be comparable for gas and electric
o Residential Average Annual Household Energy Costs
Natural gas (main heating fuel)
Space heating: $457 / year
Water heating: $614 / year
Total Household Energy Expenditures: $1,626 / year
Electricity (main heating fuel)
Space heating: $386 / year
Water heating: $545 / year
Total Household Energy Expenditures: $1,505 / year
Conclusion: Based on U.S. Energy Information Administration’s 2015 residential energy
consumption survey, households in the Western region of the U.S. that use electricity as
their main heating fuel have lower annual energy costs than households served by
natural gas.
Action 2
o Assuming credits at $15 per tonne. Current CA market price
(https://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/capandtrade/auction/results_summary.pdf)
o 2017 residential GHGs = 85,079 MT CO2e
Cost to offset 100% GHGs = $1,275,000 (@$15 / tonne)
# of residential customers = 25,944
Average cost per residential customer = $50 / year
o 2017 Commercial GHGs = 90,538 MT CO2e
Cost to offset 100% GHGs = $1,358,000 (@$15 / tonne)
# of commercial customers = 3,759
Average cost per commercial customer = $360 / year
o 2017 Industrial GHGs = 106,516 MT CO2e
Cost to offset 100% GHGs = $1,597,000 (@$15 / tonne)
Industrial customers = 78
Average cost per industrial customer = $20,500 / year
o Cost to the City is assumed to be minimal. Data collection and reporting for this action can be
included with community GHG reporting.
Action 3 and 5
o Since the fees described in Action 3 and 5 are based on offsetting emissions. Costs for this type of
program will be similar to those described for Action 2.
Action 7 and 10
o Costs to procure large substitutions of biomethane or renewable hydrogen for conventional
natural gas are unknown at the scales being considered in these actions.
Action 12
o Additional City costs. Based on the experience of Portland Oregon, 1 FTE can be expected for the
initial 1.5 years for community implementation. After that it is assumed that 0.5 FTE is required
for program reporting and maintenance.
o Costs and savings between home sellers and home buyers are difficult to assess. The building
sellers will bear the cost of home energy upgrades to improve the buildings “score”. The cost of
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
Eugene CAP 2.0 – CRO Reduction Forecast Gaps Analysis
Page 4
these improvements will presumably be recovered by the seller during the sales process as home
buyers value the energy score favorably when comparing properties. After the sale the home
buyer will benefit from reduced operational energy costs. The net of these financial transactions
is difficult to quantify given currently available data.
Action 13
o Additional cost information for infrastructure and City staff time is unavailable for Eugene TSP
“What if” scenarios.
Action 14
o Costs for passenger vehicles were assessed thoroughly during the development of City of
Eugene’s Fleet Internal Climate Action plan. Downloaded 1/19 at https://www.eugene‐
or.gov/DocumentCenter/View/38211. The analysis compared new vehicle purchase prices, fuel
use, and vehicle maintenance for plug in electric vehicles (EV) versus an internal combustion
engine vehicle that gets 35 miles per gallon.
o With Federal and State tax credits it was found that an EV could save about $9,000 over the
life of the vehicle from reduced fuel and maintenance costs.
Action 15
o For comparison, current CA market prices are $15 per tonne
(https://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/capandtrade/auction/results_summary.pdf)
o At $15 / metric tonne the emissions reductions in 2030 as a result of Cap‐and‐invest (about
80,000 MT CO2e) have a market value of about $1.2 million, or about $18 per Eugene
household annually.
Action 16
o Costs for the Oregon Cap‐and‐Invest program are dependent on have GHGs are valued within
the program’s systems in order to achieve program goals.
o For comparison, current CA market prices are $15 per tonne
(https://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/capandtrade/auction/results_summary.pdf)
o At $15 / metric tonne the emissions reductions in 2030 as a result of Cap‐and‐invest (about
430,000 MT CO2e) have a market value of about $6.5 million, or about $100 per Eugene
household annually.
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
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Work Session – Item 1
Eugene CAP 2.0 – CRO Reduction Forecast Gaps Analysis
Page 6
Opportunities to Close the Consumption‐based Gap
Existing Gap
The CRO’s greenhouse gas goal (GHG Goal) is an average annual emissions reduction of 7.6% to 2100 beginning
in 2016. Eugene’s 2013 Community Consumption‐based GHGs are equal to about 2,750,000 MT CO2e (using
market‐based electricity accounting). Based on the CRO GHG Goal Target, Eugene’s annual community fossil
fuel consumption will need to be equal to or less than 720,000 MT CO2e in 2030. Eugene’s 2030 forecast with CAP
2.0 reductions are projected to be similar to 2013 emissions, which leaves a gap of about 2,000,000 MT CO2e that
will need to be addressed with additional actions to reach the CRO targets.
Recommended Additional Actions to Close the Gap
Achieving CRO goals as applied to 100% of Eugene’s consumption‐based (CB) emissions inventory is the most
challenging of any of the CRO targets and goals. This is because roughly 66% of Eugene’s consumption‐based
emissions occur outside of Eugene’s geographic boundaries (and direct control) during production of imported
goods and food consumed in Eugene.
Reducing consumption‐based emissions requires a combination of public‐led actions, individual household
decision‐making, and domestic and international climate policy. Public agencies can establish infrastructure to
support the reduction of CB emissions, but ultimately large‐scale reduction of these emissions will require a
combination of household‐level decision making and large‐scale transformation of the global energy system
towards sources of renewable energy.
Consumption‐based Actions:
City to support development of a state‐level program to reduce the carbon intensity of products
imported into Oregon.
Action 18: Community reduces the average square footage of single‐family detached homes developed
between 2019 – 2030. Smaller home size reduces emissions from a number of sources including:
production of building materials (used to build and maintain the house), other consumer goods (used to
fill the house), as well as reducing the homes energy use.
City and local partners expand existing programming to extend building material lifespans.
Action 19: Eugene optimizes the solid waste system to minimize GHGs
Action 20: Community shifts dietary choices from high‐impact to low‐impact food types
Action 21: Community reduces all possible edible food waste
Action 22: City and community to reduce the carbon intensity of concrete products.
Action 23: City to advocate for aggressive state, federal, and international climate policy that will
increase the use of renewable energy in locations that produce the goods and food consumed in Eugene.
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1
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Work Session – Item 1
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 2
EUGENE CITY COUNCIL
AGENDA ITEM SUMMARY
Work Session: Franklin Boulevard Transformation Project Update Meeting Date: May 22, 2019 Agenda Item Number: 2 Department: Public Works Staff Contact: Larisa Varela
www.eugene-or.gov Contact Telephone Number: 541-682-6887
ISSUE STATEMENT The Franklin Boulevard Transformation Project will develop alternatives for redesigning Franklin Boulevard from I-5 to Alder Street with the goal of creating a safe and comfortable street for people walking, biking, using public transportation and driving. This work session is an opportunity for the City Council to learn about the project including the timeline, public involvement plan, and draft design concepts.
BACKGROUND City of Eugene adopted land use and transportation plans identify Franklin Boulevard as one of six key corridors in Eugene. Key Corridors are streets that have or are planned to have frequent transit service (approximately every 15 minutes or less). Franklin is an especially important corridor because it serves as the spine of the regional EmX bus rapid transit system. The Franklin Boulevard Transformation builds off of the Walnut Station Specific Area Plan. In this vision from the Walnut Station Specific Area Plan, Franklin is transformed by:
Providing the retail services needed by residents of a vibrant neighborhood and
an attractive and distinctive travel corridor that facilitates safe and efficient
movement by all modes of transportation. Residents and visitors experience a
unique and welcoming entrance to the city and the University of Oregon, arriving
by bike, bus, car and foot. The multiway boulevard encourages use by pedestrians
and shoppers by separating through traffic from local access traffic, increasing
safety throughout the corridor and providing a quieter edge as well as parking
options on the local access lane. Vibrant, green foliage in well-designed
landscaping, pedestrian scale lighting and attractive, human-scaled
architecture all blend to create a sense of vitality fused with elements of nature. While the multiway boulevard street design concept may change through the Franklin Boulevard Transformation Project, any new design concepts that emerge will retain the values articulated in the Walnut Station Specific Area Plan vision. The purpose of the project is to:
• Transform Franklin Boulevard from an automobile-oriented state highway arterial to a pleasant, safe, comfortable, high-quality walking, biking and transit street while providing for motor vehicle traffic.
May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 2
• Be consistent with adopted land use and transportation plans developed by the City of Eugene, University of Oregon and/or Lane Transit District.
• Support increased residential density, changes in urban form and mixed-use development that we are currently and will continue to see being built on the corridor.
City staff are working with a team of design, engineering and public involvement consultants to develop designs for Franklin Boulevard that support both the project’s purpose and the adopted Walnut Station Specific Area Plan. Initial design concepts were developed over a four-day design workshop in late January 2019. These designs will be refined into corridor alternatives over the next few months and then brought back to the community in May 29 - 30 for additional input. The concepts will be presented to City Council on Wednesday, May 15, 2019. The concepts can also be downloaded for viewing at: https://www.eugene-or.gov/4123/Design-Workshop-Week. A triple bottom line analysis was used in the development of the Walnut Station Specific Area Plan. Once alternatives are developed for the Franklin Boulevard Transformation Project, selecting a preferred alternative will be informed by evaluation criteria that incorporate the triple bottom line.
PREVIOUS COUNCIL DIRECTION July 12, 2010, City Council Meeting Move to adopt an ordinance concerning the Walnut Station Mixed-Use Center, included as Ordinance Version A with Exhibits A through I (motion passed with amendments). Through this ordinance, City Council adopted the Walnut Station Specific Area Plan.
COUNCIL OPTIONS This is an informational item. No action is requested.
CITY MANAGER’S RECOMMENDATION This is an informational item only.
SUGGESTED MOTION This is an informational item only.
ATTACHMENTS None
FOR MORE INFORMATION Staff Contact: Larisa Varela, Associate Transportation Planner Telephone: 541-682-6887 Staff E-Mail: LVarela@eugene-or.gov