HomeMy WebLinkAboutItem A: Envision Eugene - Flexible Implementation and Urban Growth Boundary Study Area Update
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UGENE ITY OUNCIL
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GENDA TEM UMMARY
Work Session: Envision Eugene - Flexible Implementation and Urban Growth Boundary
Study Area Update
Meeting Date: February 22, 2012 Agenda Item Number: A
Department: Planning and Development Staff Contact: Lisa Gardner
www.eugene-or.gov Contact Telephone Number: 541-682-5208
ISSUE STATEMENT
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The purpose of this work session is twofold. First, it provides an opportunity to consider the how the 7
pillar of Envision Eugene, “Provide for Adaptable, Flexible and Collaborative Implementation” may be
achieved in the future. While this pillar addresses a broad range of concepts, this work session will focus
on the monitoring, evaluation, and adjustment of factors that affect the future supply and demand of land.
A copy of this pillar and its associated strategies and tactics is included as Attachment A. Second, this
work session provides an opportunity to update the City Council on analysis of potential urban growth
boundary expansion areas for single-family residential homes.
BACKGROUND
Flexible Implementation
The City is legally required to establish a Eugene-only urban growth boundary (UGB) that includes
enough residential, commercial and industrial land to accommodate 20 years of Eugene’s projected
population growth. Envision Eugene is describing how the community wants to grow, creating a
community vision of what Eugene will look like in the future, and identifying strategies and actions
necessary to implement this vision.
There are many “unknowns” when creating a 20-year plan. For some variables, such as the population
projection, state law specifies the way cities must address the uncertainty. For other variables,
assumptions and projections must be utilized to forecast the future. With the involvement of the
Technical Resource Group (TRG), a sub-committee of the Community Resource Group, many of these
assumptions and projections have been vetted to ensure that they are well-informed. However, there is
no way to eliminate all uncertainty and some of the assumptions and projections are still only best
guesses at what the future will hold. Only with the passage of time will it be known whether past
assumptions and projections were correct. It is possible that, after ten years, it is found that some of the
assumptions and projections differ significantly from what has actually occurred. To ensure that the city
continues to have a reliable plan that is based on relevant information, a robust system of monitoring,
evaluation and adjustment must accompany the plan.
Monitoring: The City will conduct on-going data monitoring and data collection of the factors
that influence the supply and demand for land. Attachment B is a detailed list of the types of
issues that can be tracked and the specific data that will be monitored. While data related to
many of these factors can be collected fairly easily, some factors may require new data collection
S:\CMO\2012 Council Agendas\M120222\S120222A.doc
systems. Further discussion about the value of investing in these data collection systems is
needed.
Periodic reporting of the relevant data will be produced for public review. Corvallis currently
provides a monitoring report on limited factors that influence their land supply. This report is
provided every one to two years and can be found at this link. While it is anticipated that Eugene
will monitor more factors than those contained in the Corvallis report, the format of the report is a
useful example of how the information can be made accessible.
Evaluation: The collected data from the ongoing monitoring program must be evaluated within
the context of Eugene’s land supply and future need. At least every five years, an evaluation will
be conducted to compare assumptions and projections that were used in determining Eugene’s
land need with actual results. Any factors that vary substantially from the original estimate will
be flagged for further tracking, analysis and possible adjustment.
Adjustment: At least every 10 years, the City will consider the need for adjustments to the
Envision Eugene strategies. These adjustments are intended to correct assumptions that differ
substantially from actual occurrences and have an effect on the demand or supply of land.
Making adjustments more frequently than a 10-year interval is not recommended due to the
natural cycles of development activity. Short-term booms or busts are not necessarily indicative
of longer-term development trends and over-correcting for natural cycles in the market should be
avoided. However, exceptions to the 10-year interval may be necessary. For instance, if new
code is enacted that has a significant impact on the amount of buildable land available, an
adjustment in the land supply may be necessary at the same time.
Adjustments may include expanding the Urban Growth Boundary to address a shortage of land
needed to meet an unanticipated demand or extending the land supply horizon. An adjustment
may also be necessary if the incentives and strategies that are aimed at encouraging
redevelopment along our transit corridors and key commercial areas are not successful. In that
case, new strategies and incentives may need to be considered to meet the land need for multi-
family and commercial development. As many of these incentives may take 10- plus years to
take effect, adjustments are not recommended on a more frequent basis.
Urban Growth Boundary Study Area Update
In the event of a UGB expansion, the state requires specific steps to identify priority areas for expansion.
At previous council work sessions, potential UGB expansion areas for public uses (parks and schools),
industrial uses and single-family residential homes were presented. An update on study areas for single
family homes, including more detailed information regarding services and capacity for additional homes
in these study areas will be provided at this work session.
NEXT STEPS
Staff will continue to refine the list of data needs and put in place the systems necessary to begin
collection and monitoring. The City Manager will include recommendations for urban growth boundary
expansion options in the overall Envision Eugene recommendation.
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RELATED CITY POLICIES
Growth Management Policies
COUNCIL OPTIONS
No action is required on this item. Therefore, no options are suggested.
CITY MANAGER’S RECOMMENDATION
No action is required on this item. Therefore, no recommendations are offered by the City Manager.
SUGGESTED MOTION
No action is required on this item. Therefore, no motions are suggested.
ATTACHMENTS
A.Envision Eugene Pillar 7: Provide for Adaptable, Flexible and Collaborative Implementation
B.Data to be Collected for Ongoing Monitoring (DRAFT)
C.Map of Urban Growth Boundary Study Areas
FOR MORE INFORMATION
Staff Contact: Lisa Gardner 541-682-5208
Staff E-Mail: lisa.a.gardner@ci.eugene.or.us
Project Website: www.envisioneugene.org
S:\CMO\2012 Council Agendas\M120222\S120222A.doc
ATTACHMENT A
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Collaboratively plan and partner with surrounding
jurisdictions and agencies.
ATTACHMENT A
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Best Outcomes
- Statements from Community Resource Group Participants
“We develop a thoughtful plan that takes into account the entire community’s point of
view.”
“Policies can be generated which are implemented by the City Council so that planning
efforts and visions have a chance to become a reality.”
Attachment B
Data to be Collected for Ongoing Monitoring (DRAFT)
Issue/Goal/Objective Key Factors/Data
Population PSU annual estimate (extrapolate for UGB)
Supply of Available Land Acres of vacant and partially vacant land (by Plan
Designation)
Residential Development Trends (permit data) Type of land developed (vacant, partially vacant, developed)
(redevelopment rate)
Density
Structure type (e.g., duplex, apartment, cottage cluster,
alley-access, secondary dwelling, mfg. home)
Structure size (total sq ft)
Lot size (and number/type of lot where relevant)
Plan Designation/Zoning
Location
Net to gross
General Residential Trends Vacancy rate
Household size
Group quarters
Demolitions
Subsidized units
MUPTE units
Units in Opportunity Siting areas
Housing Mix Number of single-family detached units constructed
Number of single-family attached units constructed
Number of multi-family units constructed
Housing Affordability Housing cost as percentage of income (US Census)
Average wage
Housing and transportation affordability index*
Employment Development Trends (permit Type of land developed (vacant, partially vacant, developed)
data) Density (Oregon QCEW data)
Structure type (single use versus mixed use)
Structure size (total sq ft)
Lot size
Plan Designation/Zoning
Location
Net to gross
Home office/non-employment zone*
Use type (office, retail, industrial)
General Employment Trends Employment growth forecast
Number of jobs (* if for Eugene only)
Average wage (* if for Eugene only)
Unemployment rate (* if for Eugene only)
Vacancy rate*
Regional Indicators Residential construction data in surrounding cities*
Residential sales/price data in surrounding cities*
Other Monitoring of Pillar Strategies 20-Minute Neighborhood Index*
Other New Data Building footprint (GIS)*
Parking spaces
Vehicle trips
*New and/or difficult collection method needed.
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StudyAreas
Caution:
Thismapisbasedonimprecise
EugeneUrbanGrowthBoundary
sourcedata,subjecttochange,and
forgeneralreferenceonly.
10/5/11