01/25/1978 Meeting - Laserfiche WebLink

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Mr. Haws wanted to see in the review some basic discussion or whether or not the panhandle policy is good land use planning and if it is a tool Council wishes to use. Manager said the discussion February 15 would be an initial one with a review of the procedures to be followed and an attempt to define the issues. He noted there were other growth management concerns which were very much related to this issue. D. Budget Committee Meeting--Meeting scheduled January 26, Thursday, has been cancelled. A tentative meeting has been scheduled for Thursday, February 2, 7:30 p.m., McNutt Room. Ms. Smith noted the Lane County Boundary Commission meeting that evening in which both she and Mayor Keller would be involved. It was suggested staff check Tuesdays as possible meeting date. E. Room Tax Committee Meeting--Scheduled for Wednesday, February 1, 4 p.m., Mayor's Office. . II. Housing Demand Report by Economic Consultants Oregon Housing Demand Report dated October 1977, and Housing Supply Report dated December 1977, and supplementary memo from Betty Niven distributed. Ed Whitelaw, ECO, reviewed for Council the Housing Demand Report. He noted for Council the report used already existing population forecast from Lane County and moved those down to a city level. He directed Council's attention to Table 2, page 4, with the population forecast of 126,744 by 1985. He felt this was still a low estimate, noting the November-to-November employment statistics for Lane County suggested the high forecasts were even lower than thought last summer. He said during the 12-month period, Lane County had captured 30 percent of the total increase of employment in the entire state. although the population increase was between 10 and 12 percent. Therefore, the originally high population forecast is thought more to be in the middle. Table 13t page 20, indicated the high and low forecasts of housing demand for Eugene in 1985 based on the population estimate of 126,744. A high forecast assumed the bulk of increase in housing demand will be in the multiple-family housing; a low population forecast assumes the demand will be in single-family dwelling units. Given the assumptions on vacancy rates, household sizes in single-family and multiple-family housing, and other variables in Table 13, if housing costs continue to increase rela- tive to household income, then households will choose more multiple-family housing. Thus the actual demand for housing will converge to the high estimates in Table 13. In contrast, if household income increases rela- tive to housing cost, then households will choose more single-family housing and the actual demand for housing will converge to the low esti- mates in Table 13. 1/25/78--2 53 I 11 1, I' I , .1 r -' -