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Draft 9/29/14 <br />5 <br />A set of working papers was developed for the 1982 Metro Planthat describes the relevant <br />issues and factors concerning each subject, and from these analyses, findings were drawn. These <br />findings, in turn, formed an important share of the basis for the goals, objectives, and policies in <br />this plan. In addition, several new or expanded elements were developed from working papers, <br />partly to comply with LCDC Goals. <br />The 1978 Technical Supplement, a product of the working papers and the various reports <br />prepared during preparation of the first MetroPlandiagram, is available under separate cover. It <br />was written for use by those who wish more information on the technical aspects of the Metro <br />Plan and its preparation. It can also be of assistance for in-depth analysis of metropolitan <br />planning issues. <br />The working papers and Technical Supplement have been amended through updates of individual <br />elements in Chapter III. During major updates, working papers and the Technical Supplement <br />are reviewed and updated as part of a comprehensive work program. Applicable working papers <br />and the Technical Supplementare referenced by ordinance when subsequent Metro Plan <br />amendments are adopted. As new information is obtained, draft working papers may be <br />prepared in advance of proposed amendments to integrate the new information into the Metro <br />Plan data base. A current list of working papers is maintained by LCOG. <br />General Assumptions and Findings <br />The following general assumptions and findings relate to the entire Metro Plan. They are <br />included in the Introduction because of their general application. <br />General Assumptions <br />6 <br />1. A population of 286,000 is expected to reside within the metropolitan UGB by the year <br />2015. This is a 29 percent increase from the estimated 2000 census population of <br />222,500. Since this Metro Plan is designed to accommodate the expected population <br />rather than remain static until 2015, it can be adjusted periodically as changes in <br />population trends are detected. <br />2. Based on recent trends, the rate of population growth and the rate of in-migration are <br />projected to decrease. <br />3. In addition to population growth, increasing household formation rates (i.e., decreasing <br />average household size) will increase the demand for housing. <br /> <br />5 <br />The working papers are on file for public use in the Springfield, Lane County, and Eugene planning offices, and at <br />LCOG. <br />6 <br />These General Assumptionsno longerapply within Springfield’s UGB (east of Interstate 5) as a result of <br />Springfield’sestablishment of its separate UGB and 20-yearsupply of residential land.Springfield Ordinance No. <br />6268 (June 20, 2011); Lane County Ordinance No.PA 1274 (July 6, 2011). <br />I-8 <br />Replaced October 31, 2008 <br />