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were included in the record as a result of Mr. Kloos request for these materials; but, had <br /> Mr. Kloos not requested them, staff would not have added them to the record because the <br /> changes reflected in those notes were draft and the final changes were reflected in the <br /> tables that were available on line during the Planning Commission process and in hard <br /> copy format since the Planning Commission process commenced in June 2003. <br /> <br />PERIODIC REVIEW ISSUES <br /> <br />EXHIBIT A: METRO PLAN HOUSEKEEPING REVISIONS <br /> <br />1. Population Projections <br /> <br /> Issue: The Lane County Homebuilders' Association representative raised the concern <br /> that the changes to the text Exhibit A related to population projections would alter the <br /> conclusions and analysis of residential lands conducted as part of the Metropolitan <br /> Residential Land and Housing Study in 1999. Elected officials requested additional <br /> information about this topic, including how the population figure relates to and/or <br /> incorporates information about economic and employment trends. <br /> <br /> Staff Analysis: The edits to the population figures in Exhibit A report a population <br /> figure for the UGB in the year 2015. The figure is not different from previous UGB <br /> figures because the edits proposed to population figures in Exhibit A provide, for thefirst <br /> time, an anticipated 2015 population figure for the metropolitan UGB. The reporting of <br /> these data do not alter in any way the conclusions or analysis performed as part of the <br /> 1999 Metropolitan Residential Land and Housing Study. See Attachment D: Excerpt <br /> from Section IV: Summary of the Residential Land Supply and Demand Analysis. <br /> <br /> The current Metro Plan provides a projected population range and an anticipated <br /> population projection figure for an area known as the "Metropolitan Study Area." The <br /> methodology used to develop this projection is described in Attachment D: Excerpt from <br /> Section IV: Summary of the Residential Land Supply and Demand Analysis. The housing <br /> demand for 2015 for the UGB was derived from the housing demand in the Metropolitan <br /> Study Area, just as the proposed population figure for the UGB was derived from the <br /> Metropolitan Study Area population projection. <br /> <br /> The Metropolitan Study Area contains census tracts that extend far beyond the metro <br /> UGB. This area was used as the start of the population projection methodology because <br /> the U.S. Census Bureau does not report demographic data at the UGB level and <br /> demographic and economic data are used in the projection methodology. In addition, this <br /> larger area serves as the starting point for population projections used in TransPlan. The <br /> reason the population projection for the Metropolitan Study Area was originally put in the <br /> existing Metro Plan was because that was the figure that was produced through a <br /> projection of past trends by LCOG's analyst. The UGB figure now being included in the <br /> Metro Plan for the year 2015 for the UGB was derived from the projected figure of the <br /> larger land area. The reason the Planning Commissions wanted to provide the population <br /> <br />Metro Plan Periodic Review Text and Diagram Amendments Staff Notes Page 6 of 28 <br /> City Council Agenda page 308 <br /> <br /> <br />