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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY — (continued) <br />Even though the backlog figure increases money -wise in 2016, the projected needed treatments for <br />Arterials and Collectors beyond 2018 remain relatively steady. A significant impact to the <br />increasing backlog is the declining condition of residential streets. The increase indicates that the <br />local gas tax alone is insufficient to stabilize the backlog long term. It is also important to note that <br />the backlog estimate is limited to improved asphalt streets. It does not take into account the repair <br />needs for concrete streets, unimproved streets, sidewalks, off-street shared -used paths, or other <br />elements of the transportation system. <br />The 2017 report uses three funding scenarios to project treatment needs and costs over a 10 -year <br />period. The analyses for all three scenarios use costs updated by Engineering in 2016 and are <br />adjusted to include a 2% inflation factor. The last two scenarios, preventing the street system from <br />falling into reconstructs and treating those that are at a reconstruct treatment signify the progress <br />made because of bond measure funding for the pavement preservation program. Following is a <br />summary of the analyses: <br />• Based on the projected funding (see table pg. 17), a $200 million backlog is projected in <br />10 years. Last year the projected backlog was $186 million in 10 years. The current street <br />repair bond measure will end in 2019 decreasing pavement preservation from an average of <br />$11.3 million to $3.3 million unless additional funding is approved. <br />A funding level of $9.2 million annually is needed to prevent arterial and collector streets <br />from falling into the reconstruct range and eliminate the reconstruct backlog for arterial <br />and collector streets in 10 years. <br />A funding level to $14.6 million annually is needed to prevent any street from falling into <br />the reconstruct range and eliminate the total reconstruct backlog in 10 years. Residential <br />streets account for approximately 66% (lane miles) of the system and over half of the current <br />backlog is for the treatment of these streets. <br />