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The growth in Latino households and need for affordable <br />housing will increase demand for lower-cost housing, such as <br />small single-family or multi -family housing. Latino households <br />are expected to account for a large share of population growth <br />over the next two decades. First and second generation Latino <br />households generally have lower than average household <br />income and larger than average households. Although <br />homeownership rates are lower for Latino households, those <br />Latino households who become homeowners do so at an earlier <br />age. The growth in Latino households and need for affordable <br />housing will increase demand for lower-cost housing, such as <br />small single-family or multi -family housing. <br />The economy is changing, which could influence demand for <br />certain housing types. Lane County and Eugene's economy have <br />grown. Between 1990 and 2011, Lane County added about 22,200 <br />jobs and the average wage increased by 88% (about $17,000). While <br />the economy and the housing market are continuing to grow <br />slowly after the 2007-2009 recession, Eugene can expect to <br />experience one to two complete economic cycles (from faster <br />growth to little or no growth) over the planning period. <br />Future housing demand will be driven by in -migration and <br />changes in age -demographics. It is likely that households that <br />move to Eugene in the future will have characteristics similar to <br />those that moved to Eugene in the recent past (since 2001). New <br />households and existing households are likely to undergo similar <br />changes in age -demographics. The Office of Economic Analysis <br />projects that Lane County's share of people over 60 years will <br />increase from 17% in 2000 to 26% in 2030, adding nearly 56,000 <br />people 60 years and older over the thirty year period. <br />Changes in Eugene's household composition will affect the types <br />of housing needed. The composition of Eugene's households has <br />changed over the last two decades, with household size decreasing <br />slightly, from 2.30 persons per household in 1990 to 2.24 persons <br />per household in 2010, a change of 2.6% over the 20 -year period. <br />Single -person households became more common, with 31% of <br />households in one-person households in 1990 and 33% in 2010. <br />• Eugene's housing became less affordable for renting and owning <br />over the last decade. Some indicators that illustrate this decrease in <br />affordability include: <br />• Fifty percent of Eugene households were cost burdened in 2011. <br />The rate was much higher for renters (64%) than for <br />Part 11 — Eugene Housing Needs Analysis ECONorthwest Page 107 <br />