Agenda Packet 5-22-19 Work Session

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Note: This document is a summary from a more extensive report from Good Company, but summarized by City of Eugene staff for purposes of discussion with City Council. Recommendations for Additional Eugene Climate Actions to Meet Eugene’s Climate Recovery Ordinance Targets and Goals Opportunities to Close the Fossil Fuel and Sector based Gap Existing Fossil Fuel Gap The CRO’s fossil fuel target is a 50% reduction in community fossil fuel use in 2030 compared to a 2010 baseline or an average annual reduction of 2.5% per year between 2010 and 2030. Eugene’s community 2010 fossil fuel use was equal to about 14.4 MMBTU. To meet the CRO’s fossil fuel target (50% reduction by 2030 compared to 2010), Eugene’s annual community fossil fuel consumption will need to be equal to or less than 7.2 MMBTU in 2030. Eugene’s 2030 forecast, which adjusts for community population increases and CAP2.0 large‐lever shareholder (LLS) reductions, is projected to be 11.6 MMBTU, which leaves a gap of about 4.5 MMBTU that will need to be addressed with additional actions to reach the CRO targets. Existing Sector‐based Gap The CRO’s greenhouse gas goal (GHG Goal) is an average annual emissions reduction of 7.6% to 2100 beginning in 2016. Eugene’s 2017 Community Sector‐based GHGs are equal to about 1,000,000 MT CO2e. Based on rate specified in by the CRO GHG Goal, Eugene’s Sector‐based emissions will need to be equal to or less than 360,000 MT CO2e in 2030. Eugene’s 2030 forecast with CAP 2.0 reductions is projected to be 830,000 MT CO2e, which leaves a gap of about 450,000 MT CO2e that will need to be addressed with additional actions to reach the CRO targets. Figure 1: Local GHG Gap (Sector‐based) compared to additional actions / scenarios. ATTACHMENT B May 22, 2019, Work Session – Item 1