|
Eugene CAP 2.0 – CRO Reduction Forecast Gaps Analysis
<br />
<br />Page 5
<br />
<br />Figure 2: Sector-based GHG and Fossil Fuel Use Gap compared to additional actions / scenarios.
<br />Annual Gap - Sector-based GHGs and Fossil Fuel Use 470,000 MT CO2e 4,400,000 MMBTU
<br />MT CO2e % of Gap MMBTU % of Gap
<br />Building Actions
<br />Action Number
<br />Scenario 1: NWNG - 50% Reduced NG infrastructure investment (20,000) -4%(300,000) -7%
<br />Scenario 2: NWNG - 100% Reduced NG infrastructure investment (40,000) -9%(700,000) -16%
<br />Scenario 1: NWNG SmartEnergy - 50% participation (140,000)-30%
<br />Scenario 2: NWNG SmartEnergy - 100% participation (270,000)-57%
<br />3,5 Scenario 1: NG Appliance Fee, 2020 - 2030 (130,000)-28%(2,400,000) -55%
<br />Scenario 1: Reduce Carbon Intensity of NWNG Product (25% biomethane)(80,000) -17%(1,500,000) -34%
<br />Scenario 2: Reduce Carbon Intensity of NWNG Product (50% biomethane)(160,000) -34%(2,900,000) -66%
<br />8 Scenario 1: Prohibit Financial Incentives for New NG Equipment More information required
<br />9 Scenario 1: Increase franchise fee to fuel switch away from NG More information required
<br />12 Scenario 1: Home Energy Score (10,000) -2%80,000 2%
<br />Transportation Actions
<br />Scenario 1: TSP What if 1 (in addition to Adopted)(30,000) -6%(400,000) -9%
<br />Scenario 2: TSP What if 2 (in addition to Adopted)(70,000) -15%(1,000,000) -23%
<br />Scenario 1: 25,000 additional EVs beyond TSP (110,000) -23%(1,300,000) -30%
<br />Scenario 2: 50,000 additional EVs beyond TSP (220,000) -47%(2,500,000) -57%
<br />Scenario 3: 75,000 additional EVs beyond TSP (330,000) -70%(3,800,000) -86%
<br />Produce Use Actions
<br />15 Scenario 1: Refrigerant recharge fee to purchase carbon offsets for 100% of GHGs (80,000) -17%*Action does not reduce FF use
<br />Waste Actions
<br />Scenario 1: Landfill gas capture efficiency increases by 10%(10,000) -2%*Action does not reduce FF use
<br />Scenario 2: Landfill gas capture efficiency increases by 25%(20,000) -4%
<br />Overarching Action
<br />17
<br />Scenario 1: Oregon Cap-and-Invest (Draft SB 557, Section 4 goals)
<br />Note: An Oregon Cap-and-Invest program would reduce climate impacts in Eugene using
<br />many of the same LLS actions already considered and counted in the LLS forecast. Therefore
<br />GHG reductions a Cap-and-Invest policy should not be viewed as wholly independent and
<br />additive to existing LLS actions. The Cap-and-Invest program will be complimentary -
<br />providing regulatory and financial support towards climate action, but the reductions
<br />presented in this row are not 100% additive to reductions previously presented for existing
<br />LLS actions.
<br />(430,000)
<br />Indeterminate.
<br />Cap-and-Invest
<br />reductions overlap
<br />with other LLS and
<br />gap filling actions
<br />(7,200,000)
<br />Indeterminate. Cap-
<br />and-Invest
<br />reductions overlap
<br />with other LLS and
<br />gap filling actions
<br />*This column shows
<br />max cumulative
<br />potential in 2030
<br />*This column shows
<br />max cumulative
<br />potential in 2030
<br />*Action does not reduce FF use
<br />*Action does not reduce FF use
<br />7,10
<br />13
<br />14
<br />16
<br />1,4,6,11
<br />2
<br />June 17, 2019, Work Session – Item 2
|