Agenda Packet 6-17-19 Work Session

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Eugene CAP 2.0 – CRO Reduction Forecast Gaps Analysis Page 6 Opportunities to Close the Consumption-based Gap Existing Gap The CRO’s greenhouse gas goal (GHG Goal) is an average annual emissions reduction of 7.6% to 2100 beginning in 2016. Eugene’s 2013 Community Consumption-based GHGs are equal to about 2,750,000 MT CO2e (using market-based electricity accounting). Based on the CRO GHG Goal Target, Eugene’s annual community fossil fuel consumption will need to be equal to or less than 720,000 MT CO2e in 2030. Eugene’s 2030 forecast with CAP 2.0 reductions are projected to be similar to 2013 emissions, which leaves a gap of about 2,000,000 MT CO2e that will need to be addressed with additional actions to reach the CRO targets. Recommended Additional Actions to Close the Gap Achieving CRO goals as applied to 100% of Eugene’s consumption-based (CB) emissions inventory is the most challenging of any of the CRO targets and goals. This is because roughly 66% of Eugene’s consumption-based emissions occur outside of Eugene’s geographic boundaries (and direct control) during production of imported goods and food consumed in Eugene. Reducing consumption-based emissions requires a combination of public-led actions, individual household decision-making, and domestic and international climate policy. Public agencies can establish infrastructure to support the reduction of CB emissions, but ultimately large-scale reduction of these emissions will require a combination of household-level decision making and large-scale transformation of the global energy system towards sources of renewable energy. Consumption-based Actions: • City to support development of a state-level program to reduce the carbon intensity of products imported into Oregon. • Action 18: Community reduces the average square footage of single-family detached homes developed between 2019 – 2030. Smaller home size reduces emissions from a number of sources including: production of building materials (used to build and maintain the house), other consumer goods (used to fill the house), as well as reducing the homes energy use. • City and local partners expand existing programming to extend building material lifespans. • Action 19: Eugene optimizes the solid waste system to minimize GHGs • Action 20: Community shifts dietary choices from high-impact to low-impact food types • Action 21: Community reduces all possible edible food waste • Action 22: City and community to reduce the carbon intensity of concrete products. • Action 23: City to advocate for aggressive state, federal, and international climate policy that will increase the use of renewable energy in locations that produce the goods and food consumed in Eugene. June 17, 2019, Work Session – Item 2