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<br />Neighborhood (ETN, now tneS-C/R-2 subarea'ofthe Chambers Special Area <br />Zone).' This area has about the same number of lots (265) and has a similar <br />historical character (single-family, detached, grid-pattern, etc.) as Area IS. T<ne <br />main difference is that the ETN had been zoned R-2 for many years prior to the <br />study. <br /> <br />An analysis of infiH development in the ETN area showed that only 27 tots had <br />been developed with innn that resulted in three or mqre dwelling units on the lot <br />Quoting from the report: <br /> <br />HThe impactfrorn these developments is starkly different than the impact of <br />the 200 or so lots that have been hl:vtorically develoJJed 14Jitn one or two <br />mve llintgs. <br /> <br />The cost has been high.qfthe 27 lots, 19 of them have '(severe H negative <br />in1pacts on adjacent properties, anll6 of them navf? Hsubstantial J, negative <br />impacts. <br /> <br />The Hbeneflt 1J has been lOtV - only 36 more dWlelling units than the <br />approximately 330 thatlvould exist if these Inftll developlllenls hlld been <br />limiteā‚¬{ to llVO units per lot. ,,2 . <br /> <br />Based on this analysis of a comparable area, the most likely scenario if Area 15 <br />remains designated "M.edium Density Residential" (MDR) for the next eighteen <br />months isa handful of in fill developments producing a miniscule net gain in <br />dwellings, but causing significant negative impacts on the blocks where they are <br />built. <br /> <br />o Producing reliable projections of the number of units that \'vtill be built under <br />alternative r~finem.ent plan scenarios in an a1rnost fully built~out area, such as A.rea <br />15, is extremely diffi.cult. In the case .of Area 15, the maximum density aUov./cd by <br />R-2 standards is so high that it has tittle bearing Qtl the number of units that could <br />actually be built under existing site constraints andR...2 and Multiple-FarnHy <br />development standards, such.as height and setback restrictions, open space <br />requireluents, etc. <br /> <br />Further complicating any estimate is t.he fact that the nutnb.er of economical I)'''' <br />feasible units, based on variable market conditions~ is Hkely to be significantly less <br />than the number ofphysicaUypossible units. t <br /> <br />Finally, in the specific case of Area 15, any realistic projection for t.he next <br />eighteen months would have to account for the dampening effect of almost certain <br />strong resident opposition to any upzoning to R....2. We note the JWN has adopted <br />several Illotions expressing such opposition, and has appealed the recent Planning <br />Director's interpretation of the current Area 15 policy. <br /> <br />I.n actuality, neither staff n~or \ve can provide an~y reliable estinlate OfI10\\l 111any <br />more units \vould aetuaHybe built under a Lo\,," Density ResidentiaJ (t~DR) <br /> <br />I See Section V of the Chambers Revisited Neigbbors' Report, included in public testimony during the <br />CityCouncH hearings on the Chanlbers Special .A.rea Zone and available on",line at cnrNeighbors.org. <br />2 See page 48 of the report. <br /> <br />2 <br /> <br />111-24 <br />