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Appendix F: Land Use and Development <br />Trends <br />The Eugene/Springfield Metro Region is growing. To accommodate the next 20 years <br />of population growth, Eugene and Springfield will have to expand their Urban Growth <br />Boundaries (UGB), increase density within their UGB's, or both. <br />In 2009, ECONorthwest created the City of Springfield Commercial and Industrial <br />Buildable Lands Inventory and Economic Opportunities Analysis.' Similarly, in 2010, <br />ECONorthwest, Lane Council of Governments, the Ulum Group, and Winterbrook <br />Planning prepared the Eugene Comprehensive Lands Assessment for the City of <br />Eugene Planning and Development Department.2 <br />Per Oregon House Bill 3337 requirements the reports include a buildable lands <br />inventory, an economic opportunity analysis, and for Eugene and Springfield, a housing <br />needs analysis. The report also accounts for partially constrained lands related to <br />natural hazards, such as slopes, 100-year floodplains, geologic hazards, and wetlands in <br />looking at potential developable lands. The assessment will help Eugene and <br />Springfield determine the amount of land needed to accommodate population and <br />employment growth, as well as the amount of land within the current UGB that can <br />accommodate this growth. <br />The Eugene Comprehensive Lands Assessment relies on population projections <br />provided by Lane County that estimates Eugene will grow from 179,338 people in 2011 <br />to 213,238 people in 2031 at an average annual growth rate of 0.88%.4 <br />In January 2017, after several years of community input, research and analysis, public <br />meetings, and revisions, the City of Eugene adopted a new UGB. The new UGB <br />addresses Eugene's land needs for housing, jobs, parks, and schools from 2012-2032, <br />and is based on the state land use planning framework, Envision Eugene pillars, and <br />seven years of technical analysis, community input, and Council direction. Eugene <br />anticipates approximately 34,000 new residents and 36,000 new jobs by 2032. While <br />the majority of these residents and jobs can be accommodated on land inside the UGB, <br />1 ECONorthwest (2009). City of Springfield: Commercial andlndustnal Buildable Lands Inventory and <br />Economic Opportunities Analysis. Retrieved from http://www.springfield-or.gov/wp- <br />content/uploads/2016/1I/Draft CIBL Analvsis 9 09.pdf, accessed August, 2019. <br />2 ECONorthwest (2010). Eugene Comprehensive Lands Assessment Retrieved from <br />https://www.eugene-or.gov/index.aspx?NID-788, accessed August 2019. <br />3 City of Eugene. Oregon House Bill, https://www.eugene-or.gov/DocumentCenter/View/581/Oregon- <br />House-Bill-3337?bidId=. Accessed August 2019 <br />Portland State University (Population Research Center) `Lane County Coordinated Population Forecast <br />2015-2065'.June 2015. <br />https://www.p(-x.edu/l)rc/sites/www.pdx.edu.pre/files/Lane Forecast Report 201506.pdf, accessed <br />August 5, 2019 <br />6-115 January 2020 <br />