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Eugene -Springfield Area Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan <br />2. Hazard Descriptions <br />The CSZ scenario model is based on a potential 9.0 magnitude earthquake <br />generated off the Oregon coast. The model does not consider atsunami, which <br />would likely develop from the earthquake incident. The magnitude 6.5 arbitrary <br />crustal earthquake scenario model does not look at a single earthquake (as in the <br />CSZ model). It encompasses many faults, each with a 2% chance of producing an <br />earthquake in the next 50 years. The model assumes each fault will produce a single <br />"average" earthquake during this time. <br />The models contain a high degree of uncertainty and should be used only for <br />general planning purposes. Though these models were considered when evaluating <br />the risk from earthquakes to the Eugene -Springfield area, they need to be updated to <br />include local infrastructure data. The existing earthquake loss models are found in <br />the 2014 Eugene -Springfield NHMP as well as the 2015 Oregon NHMP. Updated <br />studies will be pursued by DOGAMI and the Cities for the 2025 NHMP update. <br />Eugene and Springfield categorize the probability of a Cascadia Subduction Zone <br />(CSZ) earthquake or intraplate and crustal earthquakes as moderate. Vulnerability <br />to an earthquake is high while capacity to deal with such incidents is low. The <br />overall risk rating to earthquakes is very high. <br />For a summary of Impact Risks see Table 2-4. <br />Table 2-4 Earthquake - Impact Risks <br />cident <br />Rankin <br />Civil Unrest <br />Moderate <br />Dam or Levee Failure <br />Low <br />Epidemic <br />Moderate <br />Hazardous Materials <br />High <br />2.3.8 Existing Hazard Mitigation Activities <br />Eugene and Springfield have taken steps to mitigate earthquake risks. Efforts <br />include: <br />• Enforcing of the International Building Codes and Oregon Structural <br />Specialty Code, both of which address earthquake mitigation measures for <br />new construction. <br />• Creating and training a Damage Assessment team for evaluating structural <br />damage to buildings and bridges after an earthquake. This team includes <br />staff members from Lane County, Eugene, and Springfield. <br />• Moving the City of Eugene police, fire, City management, and <br />administration functions out of City Hall due to the building's seismic <br />deficiency. Eugene is currently in the process of designing a new City hall. <br />• Constructing an enlarged, seismically sound, emergency operations center <br />(EOC) with a larger generator and increased food, water, and fuel storage. <br />2-19 January 2020 <br />