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Eugene -Springfield Area Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan <br />Tables of Contents <br />2.4.1 <br />Causes and Characteristics of the Hazard ....................................... <br />2-20 <br />2.4.2 <br />Climate Change............................................................................... <br />2-23 <br />2.4.3 <br />History of the Hazard in Eugene -Springfield .................................... <br />2-23 <br />2.4.4 <br />Impacts — Cascading Incidents........................................................ <br />2-26 <br />2.4.5 <br />Probability of Future Occurrence...................................................... <br />2-28 <br />2.4.6 <br />Vulnerability and Capacity Assessment ........................................... <br />2-28 <br />2.4.7 <br />Risk Assessment.............................................................................. <br />2-28 <br />2.4.8 <br />Existing Hazard Mitigation Activities ................................................. <br />2-29 <br />2.5 <br />Flood................................................................................................ <br />2-29 <br />2.5.1 <br />Cause and Characteristics of the Hazard ......................................... <br />2-29 <br />2.5.2 <br />Climate Change............................................................................... <br />2-30 <br />2.5.3 <br />History of the Hazard in Eugene -Springfield .................................... <br />2-30 <br />2.5.4 <br />Impacts — Cascading Incidents........................................................ <br />2-32 <br />2.5.5 <br />Probability of Future Occurrence...................................................... <br />2-36 <br />2.5.6 <br />Vulnerability Assessment and Capacity ........................................... <br />2-36 <br />2.5.7 <br />Risk Assessment.............................................................................. <br />2-37 <br />2.5.8 <br />Existing Hazard Mitigation Activities ................................................. <br />2-38 <br />2.5.9 <br />National Flood Insurance Program Participation..............................2-38 <br />2.5.10 <br />Repetitive Flood Loss Properties..................................................... <br />2-39 <br />2.6 <br />Geomagnetic Disturbance(GMD).................................................... <br />2-39 <br />2.6.1 <br />Causes and Characteristics of the Hazard ....................................... <br />2-39 <br />2.6.2 <br />Climate Change............................................................................... <br />2-40 <br />2.6.3 <br />History of the Hazard in Eugene -Springfield .................................... <br />2-40 <br />2.6.4 <br />Impacts — Cascading Incidents........................................................ <br />2-41 <br />2.6.5 <br />Probability of Future Occurrence...................................................... <br />2-43 <br />2.6.6 <br />Vulnerability and Capacity Assessment ........................................... <br />2-43 <br />2.6.7 <br />Risk Assessment.............................................................................. <br />2-43 <br />2.6.8 <br />Existing Hazard Mitigation Activities ................................................. <br />2-43 <br />2.7 <br />Landslide..........................................................................................2-43 <br />2.7.1 <br />Causes and Characteristics of the Hazard ....................................... <br />2-44 <br />2.7.2 <br />Climate Change............................................................................... <br />2-46 <br />2.7.3 <br />History of the Hazard in Eugene -Springfield .................................... <br />2-47 <br />2.7.4 <br />Impacts —Cascading Incidents....................................................... <br />2-48 <br />2.7.5 <br />Probability of Future Occurrences.................................................... <br />2-49 <br />2.7.6 <br />Vulnerability and Capacity Assessment ........................................... <br />2-49 <br />2.7.7 <br />Risk Assessment.............................................................................. <br />2-50 <br />2.7.8 <br />Existing Hazard Mitigation Activities ................................................. <br />2-51 <br />2.8 <br />Volcano............................................................................................ <br />2-51 <br />2.8.1 <br />Causes and Characteristics of the Hazard ....................................... <br />2-51 <br />2.8.2 <br />Climate Change............................................................................... <br />2-52 <br />2.8.3 <br />History of the Hazard........................................................................ <br />2-52 <br />2.8.4 <br />Impacts — Cascading Incidents........................................................ <br />2-55 <br />2.8.5 <br />Probability of Future Occurrence...................................................... <br />2-56 <br />2.8.6 <br />Vulnerability and Capacity Assessment ........................................... <br />2-56 <br />vi January 2020 <br />