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AVIATION DEMAND FORECASTS <br />FIGURE 2-18 <br />MONTHLY TOTAL PASSENGER VOLUMES FROM 2005-2015 <br /> <br />Sources: FAA 2015 TAF Report, RS&H Analysis 2016 <br />The 2016 July schedule included a recent shift in aircraft fleet related to United Airlines up-gauging <br />regional jets to mainline aircraft. It was determined that Sunday was the peak day in the July 2016 <br />schedule, and that day’s flight schedule was carried forward as the baseline schedule for 2016. <br /> <br />To determine future flight schedules for the proposed planning years, informed predictions and <br />assumptions were made to identify likely conditions that might occur over time, such as the addition of <br />new routes and aircraft up-gauging. These assumptions are based on an analysis of passenger volumes to <br />the top 15 destinations from the Eugene market, industry trends and talks with airport staff about current <br />and potential future market growth opportunities. Of EUG’s top 20 true markets, shown in Table 2-17, <br />nine are currently served with non-stop flights. Based on the number of passengers from the Eugene <br />catchment area that fly either from EUG through other connecting airports or drive to PDX, it is expected <br />that new non-stop flights to San Diego and Phoenix (PHX) will begin service in the future to fill un-served <br />demand. Additionally, a strong market demand in the region for direct service to Chicago (ORD) and <br />Minneapolis (MSP) and cities served from those airports has been identified. To fill that demand, it is <br />assumed a direct flight to both airports will also start service in the future. <br /> <br />EUGENE AIRPORT MASTER PLAN 2-26 <br /> <br />