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AVIATION DEMAND FORECASTS <br />TABLE 2-17 <br />EUG TOP 20 TRUE MARKETS <br />RankAirportCurrently Served <br />1Los Angeles, CA <br />2Las Vegas, NV <br />3 San Francisco, CA <br />4 Seattle, WA <br />5Oakland, CA <br />6San Diego, CANo <br />7 <br /> Phoenix, AZ (PHX)No <br />8Denver, CO <br />9Phoenix, AZ (AZA) <br />10San Jose, CA <br />11Orange County, CANo <br />12Salt Lake City, UT <br />13Chicago, IL (ORD)No <br />14Dallas, TX (DFW)No <br />15Orlando, FL (MCO)No <br />16Honolulu, HINo <br />17Sacramento, CANo <br />18 <br />Boston, MANo <br />19Minneapolis, MNNo <br />20Spokane, WANo <br />Source: Eugene Airport Passenger Demand Analysis Report, 2016 <br /> <br /> <br />The assumptions for new routes were blended with industry trends to generate a hypothetical gate <br />schedule for each planning year of this study. These schedules were then analyzed to determine future <br />passenger enplanement and operational levels as well as peak periods of activity for each planning year. <br />The specific assumptions for each planning period are described below: <br /> <br />»Planning Year 2020 – American Airlines adds a new daily flight to Phoenix Sky Harbor <br />International Airport using EMB 175 aircraft. Alaska adds one new daily flight to San Diego using <br />EMB 175 aircraft. United has fully up-gauged all routes that were using CRJ aircraft, and now uses <br />only EMB 175, A319, A320, and B737 aircraft. Allegiant is fully transitioned from MD-83 aircraft to <br />A320 aircraft <br />»Planning Year 2025 – United adds a daily flight to Chicago (ORD) using EMB 175 aircraft and <br />also adds a flight to SFO with an EMB 175. American up-gauges its flight to PHX using an A- <br />320/737-8. <br />»Planning Year 2035 – American Airlines adds a daily flight to Los Angeles using 737-MAX <br />aircraft. American Airlines also adds another daily flight to Phoenix using EMB-175 aircraft and <br />Delta Airlines adds a daily flight to Minneapolis/St Paul Airport (MSP) using EMB-175. United up- <br />EUGENE AIRPORT MASTER PLAN 2-27 <br /> <br />