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Boundaries for the inventory were chosen to correspond, for the most part, to the boundaries of <br />Eugene Water and Electric Board’s (EWEB) territory. EWEB’s service area roughly matches <br />the Eugene portion of the Metro Plan boundaries. River Road/Santa Clara and the Blachly Lane <br />service territory along Hwy 99, south of Awbrey Lane, were also included. <br />The year 1990 was chosen as a baseline year in order to be consistent with the climate goals of <br />the State of Oregon and many other US cities. This also allows us to comply with the spirit of <br />the Kyoto Protocol, as recommended by the US Mayor’s Climate Protection Agreement. Mayor <br />Kitty Piercy is a signatory of the Agreement. An interim year, 2005, was chosen to provide a <br />snapshot of the current emissions situation and allow quantification of reduction measures <br />undertaken after 1990. The target year of 2020 for this inventory is within the planning horizon <br />of most local agencies. This enables the model to use reasonable and existing growth <br />projections, yet still allows sufficient time to implement significant emissions reductions <br />measures. <br />The projections for 2020 were done with a “business-as-usual” scenario. Any emissions <br />reduction measures or programs that are currently in existence or are already included in <br />agencies’ growth projections are therefore included in the base case 2020 scenario. For <br />instance, nodal development and continued expansion of the bus rapid transit system are <br />included in the community vehicle-miles-traveled “business as usual” projections for 2020. <br />4. Key Findings <br />The growth in GHG emissions from 1990 levels to 2005 was approximately 38%. Projected <br />growth of GHG from 2005 to 2020 is estimated at 21.4%. Total growth in emissions from the <br />base year of 1990 to the target year of 2020 is projected to be two-thirds higher than total 1990 <br />emissions. It’s important to note that any goal to go below 1990 levels must not only reduce <br />current emissions, but avoid all additional GHG emissions resulting from population growth. <br />Figure 1 below shows the growth in total GHG emissions and population for Eugene from 1990 <br />to 2005 and projected to 2020. <br />3 <br />