Item A: Sustainability Commission Recommendations

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heating oil per year. Multiplying the two together gave us the estimate for light fuel oil use in the community. Additionally, EWEB uses a small amount of fuel oil to generate steam. These figures came directly from EWEB. Sources for this information: US Census Bureau, 2005 American Community Survey http://factfinder.census.gov/servlet/DatasetMainPageServlet?_program=ACS&_submenuId=&_lang=en&_ts= House Heating Fuel by Metropolitan Area: 1990, Congressional Information Service from U of O Knight Library archive Oregon Petroleum Association, quoted in “Winter Forecast Cozy for Home Heating Oil”, The Oregonian, October 19, 2006. Tom Williams, Major Accounts, EWEB. Transportation Information for transportation impacts was gathered from LCOG (Lane Council of Governments). The information does not include the impacts of traffic on I-5, since Eugene can not expect that local policies would have any affect on I-5 traffic. Input into the CACP software required VMT (Vehicle Miles Traveled) and the distribution of those by vehicle type. VMT was obtained by using the daily VMT as determined by the 2002 Regional Transportation Model completed by LCOG and splitting out the Eugene portion by percent of Eugene/Springfield population. The Eugene-only daily VMT was then backcasted for 1990 and extrapolated for 2005 using the average annual change in VMT from the Urban Mobility report as completed by the Texas Transportation Institute. Estimated 1990 and 2005 daily VMT figures were multiplied by 330, as recommended by the CCP protocol, to account for daily variation in traffic volume on weekend and holidays. This method was suggested and results reviewed by Susan Payne, LCOG. LCOG projects growth in internal Eugene VMT to be 1.27% per year. Compounded over the next 15 years the total growth in VMT is expected to be 24%. VMT distribution by vehicle types were calculated by LCOG using the EPA Mobile 6 modeling protocol. Unfortunately the Mobile 6 model does not classify passenger vehicles by size. This made it necessary to combine all passenger vehicles, including light duty trucks and SUV’s into a single classification for entry into the CCP software. When the combined passenger vehicle category is used, the CCP software uses a passenger vehicle fleet average mpg figure to calculate fuel use and thus, CO2 emissions. This average increased slightly from 16.1 mpg in 1990 to 17.7mpg in 2005, and is projected, under a business-as-usual scenario to increase to 18.4 mpg by 2020. VMT distribution used for all three years modeled is shown in the chart below. As noted earlier, we are aware that 1990 emissions are most likely overestimated to some extent because they are based on the best available, but limited, VMT distribution data. 20