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open space (beyond the metro region), regional facility planning, and critical technical <br />assistance for K-12 education. A regional transportation model is now being developed <br />that will help this region develop in a way that minimizes the impacts of inter-city travel <br />seen in larger, more mature metropolitan areas. <br /> <br />THREE ALTERNATIVE REGIONAL GROWTH SCENARIOS <br /> <br />A detailed description of the scenarios and the assumptions used to develop them are <br />contained in the report: Alternative Regional Growth Scenarios, October 9, 2003 <br />(http://www. reqion2050.orq/pdf/meetin,qs/102003/AltScenarios, pdf). Wall-size <br />computerized maps of the scenarios are available for viewing at Lane Council of <br />Governments, 99 East Broadway, Suite 400, Eugene, Oregon 97401. Graphic <br />depictions of the scenarios are attached along with tables that show the distribution of <br />population and employment, densities, and land expansion areas in the three scenarios. <br /> <br /> Compact Urban Growth <br /> <br /> In the Compact Urban Growth Scenario, the region would develop at the highest <br /> concentration practical, given anticipated market forces. The regional distribution of <br /> growth is similar to today, with most of the growth occurring in the metro cities. <br /> Development is more compact than planned today and growth is mostly <br /> concentrated at higher housing and employment densities in Eugene and <br /> Springfield, including UGB expansion areas. The rural communities of Goshen, <br /> Pleasant Hill, and Alvadore become part of the metro UGB in this scenario and the <br /> rest of the rural area outside UGBs stays pretty much the same as it is today. <br /> <br /> Satellite Communities <br /> <br /> In the Satellite Communities Scenario, a much greater share of the housing and <br /> employment growth is distributed among the small cities. Similar to today, the small <br /> cities develop at small town housing and employment densities which are lower than <br /> Eugene and Springfield. The three rural communities in closest proximity to the <br /> metropolitan area -Alvadore, Goshen, and Pleasant Hill - become "growth centers" <br /> because they grow to a size and have housing densities similar to small cities. <br /> <br /> Rural Growth <br /> <br /> In the Rural Growth Scenario, growth is distributed throughout the region on rural <br /> residential lands inside rural communities - on one acre lots, and outside rural <br /> communities - on two acre lots. Houses are also built on two acre lots on farm and <br /> forest lands that are of lower quality and/or less suitable for farm or forest use. The <br /> population of the rural area more than doubles in this scenario. There are also more <br /> jobs in the rural area and in the metro cities where these rural residents will access <br /> goods, services, and work. <br /> <br /> <br />