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1)Reduce GHG emissions from consumption of fossil fuels by displacing conventional <br />combustion engines with hybrid, electric and other technological/fuel options, and <br />2)Guide land use choices, especially in Oregon’s urban areas, toward more efficient <br />choices including higher densities, transit options, mixed-use neighborhoods, and <br />common wall dwelling designs. <br />Figure 1. Light Vehicle Emissions as a percent of Oregon’s Total GHG Emissions <br />Similarly, the 2009 Moving Cooler report prepared by Cambridge Systematics for the Urban <br />Land Institute identified four basic approaches for reducing GHG emissions from <br />xiii <br />transportation: <br />Vehicle Technology <br />—Improving the energy efficiency of the vehicle fleet by <br />implementing more advanced technologies, <br />Fuel Technology <br />—Reducing the carbon content of fuels through the use of <br />alternative fuels (for instance, natural gas, biofuels, and hydrogen), <br />Travel Activity <br />—Reducing the number of miles traveled by transportation vehicles, <br />or shifting those miles to more efficient modes of transportation, and <br />Vehicle and System Operations <br />—Improving the efficiency of the transportation <br />network so that a larger share of vehicle operations occur in favorable conditions, <br />with respect to speed and smoothness of traffic flow, resulting in more fuel efficient <br />vehicle operations. <br />In addition, the 2007 Growing Cooler report documents how key changes in land <br />xiv <br />development patterns can help reduce transportation-related GHG emissions. <br />Benefits of Scenario Planning <br />Many ask how scenario planning relates to efforts to reduce GHG emissions from <br />transportation. Planning for the future is challenging, especially when, as is often the case, <br />reasonable forecasts vary widely. Scenario planning is a technique intended to help better <br />inform the decisions to be made at present despite uncertainties about the future. Scenario <br />planning provides a mechanism by which to put forth possible future scenarios for evaluation <br /> <br />and study. Scenarios are visions of what our communities might look like in the future. <br />They are not forecasts and they are not predictions. They are possible futures that are based <br />on what already exists, on trends that are evident, and on the values and preferences of the <br />community being studied. The essential requirement of any scenario is that it be plausible, <br />within the realm of what exists and what is now known. <br />Page 6 <br />