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As noted above, scenario planning is just one of many actions that will be needed to meet the state’s GHG reduction goals. Other steps that will be needed to meet GHG reduction goals and to provide a framework for scenario planning include: - Development of a statewide strategy for reducing GHG emissions from the transportation sector. This statewide strategy should clearly identify responsibilities and necessary coordination between local, state, and federal efforts. - Development of a toolkit of actions that metropolitan areas and local governments can take – in addition to scenario planning - to reduce GHG emissions from the transportation sector. - A comprehensive public education and engagement process at local and state levels to develop public understanding of the challenges and opportunities of GHG reductions and to encourage public involvement in the process. The Task Force identified several attributes that the process for scenario planning to reduce transportation GHG emissions will need to have: Provide flexibility to the local governments and MPOs particularly in the beginning to reflect differences in authorities, resources, geographic situations, and aspirations. Be coordinated with ongoing planning efforts. Build on the work already required by HB 2001. HB 2001 sets a detailed process and schedule for scenario planning for GHG emission reduction in the Portland 6 Metropolitan area over the next two to three years. Work done in this process should help set a framework for setting targets and conducting scenario planning in other metropolitan areas. The process should be iterative and phased. Planning will need to be iterative because many things are unknown about the technologies that will be developed, the laws and rules that will be adopted at the federal and state levels, and the success of local and regional programs. Planning will need to be phased to coordinate with other land use and transportation activities and to balance the need for immediate action with limitations posed by current staffing and budgets as well as the time required to start up a new program. Requirements for scenario planning should be clearly tied to adequate funding availability for MPOs, local governments and state agencies to conduct scenario planning. While scenario planning can build on existing planning processes it’s clear that significant additional resources will be needed. Scenario Planning Under HB 2001 The Task Force recommends that scenario planning build on work already scheduled for the Portland metropolitan area over the next two years. HB 2001 requires LCDC to adopt rules that would set a target for reductions in Light Vehicle emissions for the Portland metropolitan area. The 2035 target date for emission reduction is the half-way point between the adopted state goal for GHG emissions from all sources in 2020 (10 percent less than 1990 levels) and the goal for 2050 (75 percent less than 1990 levels). Metro is required to develop 6 Section 38a of HB 2001 also requires the Eugene Springfield metropolitan area to conduct scenario planning by 2013. While requiring scenario planning and modeling (provided receipt of sufficient funds) this section of HB 2001 does not include requirements for meeting state targets or state rulemaking. Page 14