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FORECASTS OF AVIATION DEMAND CHAPTER 2 <br />Graph 2-1: Enplanement Forecast – Comparison <br />Historic Forecast <br />Ø·­¬±®·½ Ú±®»½¿­¬ <br />Sources: FAA, Mead & Hunt <br />2.6 Contingency Planning Scenario <br />For long-range strategic planning purposes, a contingency demand scenario was defined. This scenario, <br />which is not part of the official forecast to be used for traditional 20-year planning, serves to estimate <br />additional future demand, factoring in additional capture of passenger diversion (to airports in other <br />markets) and the air service initiatives the City continues to pursue. The demand/capacity and facility <br />requirements analysis components of this master planning process will incorporate both the preferred <br />2026 projection of 557,736 annual enplanements, as well as a contingency demand scenario of 700,000 <br />annual enplanements. There is no timeframe established for this demand level; rather, it is intended to <br />allow the airport operator to do some contingency planning in case demand grows faster than projected. <br />In terms of assumptions, the difference of approximately 142,000 enplanements represents seven daily <br />flights by typical regional aircraft flying at an 80% load factor. <br />Planning of certain airport facilities (such as the terminal area) based on the latter number should be <br />characterized as strategic in nature, recognizing that uncertainty exists in the future. <br />2-7 <br />Eugene Airport Master Plan Update <br />(February 2010) <br /> <br />