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FORECASTS OF AVIATION DEMAND CHAPTER 2
<br />Table 2-10: Comparison of Operations Forecasts
<br />Actual Projected
<br />2006201120162026
<br />TAF
<br /> Commercial 24,777 24,798 25,73129,653
<br /> GA 66,185 66,393 69,79081,216
<br /> Military 1,817 1,763 1,7631,763
<br /> Total 92,779 92,954 97,284112,632
<br />Alternative Methodology
<br /> Commercial 24,777 15,640 16,42219,200
<br /> GA 66,185 66,393 69,79081,216
<br /> Military 1,817 1,763 1,763 1,763
<br /> Total 92,779 83,796 87,975 102,179
<br />Alt.
<br />Method/TAF
<br /> (% Difference)
<br />-10% -10%-9%
<br />NA
<br />Sources: FAA, Mead & Hunt
<br />Table 2-11 Graph 2-2
<br />and show total operations using the preferred methods.
<br />Table 2-11: Operations Forecast – Preferred
<br />YearCommercial GAMilitary Total
<br />Historic
<br />1997 28,256 81,7222,665112,643
<br />1998 28,361 78,0521,995108,408
<br />1999 29,379 82,0171,944113,340
<br />2000 32,602 75,6322,263110,497
<br />2001 30,836 70,1382,445103,419
<br />2002 24,500 68,62099394,113
<br />2003 26,373 63,34098990,702
<br />2004 28,166 62,6261,00191,793
<br />2005 26,225 61,0961,70489,025
<br />2006 24,777 66,1851,81792,779
<br />Projection
<br />2011 17,874 66,3931,76386,030
<br />2016 17,736 69,7901,76389,289
<br />2026 19,920 81,2161,763102,899
<br />CAGR 1997-2006 -1.45% -2.32%-4.17%-2.13%
<br />CAGR 2006-2026 -1.09% 1.03%N/A0.52%
<br />Source: Mead & Hunt
<br />2-12
<br />Eugene Airport Master Plan Update
<br />(February 2010)
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