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FORECASTS OF AVIATION DEMAND CHAPTER 2
<br />5. Air Cargo
<br />Air cargo includes goods and products being transported by aircraft through EUG. Air cargo is carried
<br />both by commercial passenger service carriers (in non-passenger cabin areas of aircraft) and by
<br />commercial air cargo service carriers (which serve no passengers).
<br />Air cargo can be categorized into mail and freight. Mail cargo is transported by arrangement with the
<br />commercial carrier and the United States Postal Service. Freight cargo is non-mail cargo. Mail cargo
<br />passing though EUG has declined from 43 percent of total cargo in 1998, to no mail cargo in 2006. With
<br />the additional security screening criteria established by the Department of Homeland Security over the
<br />past several years, many air carriers have slowed or ceased moving air mail. As such, mail cargo will not
<br />be evaluated.
<br />Historical data is provided to airport management by commercial carriers, who maintain data as they
<br />transport cargo at EUG. The following section presents historical data on air cargo, and forecasts using
<br />socioeconomic data and industry outlook information from The Boeing Company.
<br />5.1 Air Cargo History
<br />Table 2-16: Air Cargo History
<br />Table 2-16
<br /> presents historical air cargo data. As shown, there
<br />Enplaned Cargo
<br />were 2,974,533 lbs. of cargo in 1997, rising to a high of
<br />Year
<br />(lbs.)
<br />3,974,273 lbs. in 2000, and falling to a low of 2,091,057 lbs. in
<br />1997 2,974,533
<br />2002, and totaling 2,096,778 lbs. in 2006. Overall, air cargo has
<br />1998 3,556,740
<br />declined over the past 10 years.
<br />1999 3,974,273
<br />2000 3,710,254
<br />EUG’s decrease in enplaned freight can be attributed in part to
<br />2001 2,231,811
<br />the replacement of the large aircraft used by major and national
<br />2002 2,091,057
<br />commercial carriers, which previously served EUG, with the
<br />commuter aircraft used by regional commercial carriers, which
<br />2003 2,563,256
<br />currently serve EUG. Commuter aircraft have less room for
<br />2004 2,239,204
<br />cargo than large aircraft, leading to decreasing enplaned cargo
<br />2005 2,385,207
<br />at EUG.
<br />2006 2,096,778
<br />CAGR 1997-2006 -3.81%
<br />5.2 Air Cargo Forecast – Boeing Trends
<br />Source: Airport management records
<br />The Boeing Company’s World Air Cargo Forecast publication is a source of air cargo evaluation and
<br />projection, giving trends that can be applied to EUG to provide a forecast of local cargo activity.
<br />Boeing shows that nationwide, air cargo experienced a downturn in 2001, recovered from 2002 to 2004,
<br />and declined in 2005 to below Year 2000 levels. Express cargo accounted for 60 percent of activity,
<br />scheduled freight 20 percent, scheduled mail 15 percent, and charter 5 percent. Air cargo is forecasted
<br />by Boeing to increase 3.9% from 2006 through 2015, and 3.8 percent from 2006 through 2025.
<br />2-18
<br />Eugene Airport Master Plan Update
<br />(February 2010)
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