Item A: Envision Eugene - Housing Mix and Industrial Lands

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Eugene needed housing density and mix ECONorthwest Page Housing mix The actual housing mix achieved over the 2001 to 2008 period for new construction was 69% single-family detached (including manufactured homes) and 31% for attached housing types. The mix of Eugene’s entire housing stock in 2007 was: 61% single-family detached (including manufactured homes), 7% were single-family attached, 10% was structures with 2 to 4 units and the remaining 22% were structures with 5 or more units. The baseline forecast of new housing in ECLA used the long-term mix of Eugene’s housing stock (61% single-family housing types and 39% attached housing types) rather than the actual mix achieved over the 2001 to 2008 period for the following reasons: The achieved mix over the 2001 to 2008 period (69% single-family housing types and 31% attached housing types) was the result of an unusual housing market bubble, which is not likely to be repeated over the 20-year period. The analysis presented in Appendix C of the ECLA report suggests that housing affordability is a problem in Eugene. The ECLA analysis also concludes that higher density housing types tend to be more affordable. The achieved mix over the 2001 to 2008 period does not provide enough affordable attached housing types necessary to meet the need for more affordable housing. Needed density and mix Cities are required to determine the average density and mix of housing over needed the next 20-years (ORS 197.296(7)). The determination of needed density and mix should consider the following factors that may affect future housing need: The number, density and average mix of housing types of urban residential development that have actually occurred; Trends in density and average mix of housing types of urban residential development; Demographic and population trends; Economic trends and cycles; and The number, density and average mix of housing types that have occurred on the buildable lands. ECLA determined Eugene’s actual housing density (average of 7.2 dwelling units per net acre) and actual housing mix (61% single-family housing types and 39% multifamily housing types). ECO concludes that Eugene’s needed future housing density and mix for the 2011 to 2031 period is different than actual housing density and mix, based on the following factors (as specified in ORS 197.296(5)(a)): PC AIS, p8