Item A: Envision Eugene - Housing Mix and Industrial Lands

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Eugene needed housing density and mix ECONorthwest Page Eugene has a need for housing of all types, including single-family detached, single-family attached, structures with 2 to 4 units, and structures with 5 or more units. Lane County and Eugene are growing, with most growth resulting from in- migration. The County grew by 62,966 people between 1990 and 2008. More than two-thirds of this growth occurred in Eugene, which grew by 41,951 people over the 18-year period. Seventy-four percent of population growth in Lane County was the result of in-migration to the County. Eugene’s adopted forecast projects that population inside the Eugene UGB will grow by about 33,900 people between 2011 and 2031. Lane County and Eugene’s economy have grown. Between 2002 and 2007, Lane County added more than 15,500 jobs and the average wage increased by 18% (about $5,300). While the economy and the housing market are currently experiencing a downturn in growth, Eugene can expect to experience one to two complete economic cycles (from faster growth to little or no growth) over the planning period. The share of single-family housing types held relatively steady over the 1990 to 2007 period, increasing slightly from60% in 1990 to 61% in 2007. The share of multifamily housing decreased slightly from 40% in 1990 to 39% in 2007. Single-family housing accounted for 69% of permits issued for the 2001 to 2008 period. Eugene provided approximately 44% of the region’s multifamily housing between 2000 and 2008. Fifty-four percent of housing in Eugene was owner-occupied in 2007, up from 51% in 1990. Eugene’s homeownership rate was lower than the County average of 63% or the State average of 65% in 2007. Future housing demand will be driven by in-migration and changes in age- demographics. It is likely that households that move to Eugene in the future will have characteristics similar to those that moved to Eugene in the recent past (since 2001). New households and existing households are likely to undergo similar changes in age-demographics. The Office of Economic Analysis projects that Lane County’s share of people over 60 years will increase from 17% in 2000 to 26% in 2030, adding nearly 56,000 people 60 years and older over the thirty year period. Changes in Eugene’s composition will affect the types of housing needed. The composition of Eugene’s households has changed over the last two decades, with household size decreasing slightly, from 2.30 persons per household in 1990 to 2.25 persons per household in 2007, a change of 2.2% over the 17-year period. Single-person households became more common, with 31% of households in one-person households in 1990 and 34% in 2007. PC AIS, p9