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AVIATION DEMAND FORECASTS <br />forecast essentially assumes that GA operation volumes at EUG will continue to stabilize, but will not <br />return to pre-recession levels within the planning period. The TAF projects that the State of Oregon as a <br />whole will see an overall increase in GA operations of 1.2 percent through 2035. This higher growth rate <br />can be attributed to the rebound of GA activity expected at smaller airports around the state that serve <br />only small GA aircraft, and which experienced a much higher level of decline during the 2008 recession. <br /> <br />If flight school operations increase, it is feasible that local GA operations may return to pre-recession <br />levels. However, it is unlikely that total GA operations will return to historical highs within the planning <br />period based on national trends and FAA forecasts of GA activity. <br />FIGURE 2-14 <br />2015 FAA TAF GENERAL AVIATION AND MILITARY OPERATIONS <br />Source: FAA 2015 TAF Report <br />Table 2-7 presents the aircraft movements for general aviation and military aircraft forecasts from FAA’s <br />most recent TAF report. As shown, itinerant and local military operations are expected to remain flat <br />through the planning period. <br /> <br />TABLE 2-7 <br />ANNUAL GENERAL AVIATION AND MILITARY OPERATIONS FORECAST <br />Itinerant OperationsLocal Operations <br />Forecast <br />General General <br />Year <br />MilitaryTotalMilitary Total <br />AviationAviation <br />201521,9881,72523,71318,3291,72520,054 <br />202021,9911,72523,71618,3221,72520,047 <br />202522,3221,72524,04719,0671,72520,792 <br />203523,0001,72524,72520,6491,72522,374 <br />Source: FAA 2015 TAF Report <br /> <br />EUGENE AIRPORT MASTER PLAN 2-18 <br /> <br />