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AVIATION DEMAND FORECASTS <br />TABLE 2-9 <br />DERIVATIVE BASED AIRCRAFT FORECAST <br />Single Multi- <br />Forecast YearJetHelicopterOther Total <br />EngineEngine <br />2015152171540188 <br />2020155191540193 <br />2025159221540200 <br />2035169281540216 <br />CAGR0.5%2.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.7% <br /> <br />Sources: FAA 2015 TAF Report, RS&H Analysis, 2016 <br />Air Cargo Forecasts <br />As discussed in Section 2.3.3, Economic Characteristics, no cargo metrics showed any correlation with <br />the economic indexes reviewed. Since 2009, according to the Bureau of Transportation Statistics, <br />enplaned cargo has shown steady growth while deplaned cargo has been steadily declining, with the <br />exception of 2015. Overall, enplaned cargo has seen an annual compounded growth rate of 0.01 percent <br />since 2009. This trend was carried forward to project future enplaned cargo growth at EUG until 2020 after <br />which it is projected to increase to 0.4 percent, which is the same CAGR seen at PDX since 2009. A <br />minimum growth rate for deplaned cargo volume was applied at 0.01 percent annually for the entire <br />planning period. Table 2-10 summarizes the projected annual cargo volumes for the forecast period. <br /> <br />TABLE 2-10 <br />AIR CARGO FORECAST VOLUME <br />Planning YearEnplaned (lbs)Deplaned (lbs)Total (lbs) <br />20151,393,647476,0001,869,647 <br />20201,394,344476,5021,870,846 <br />20251,422,455476,7401,899,195 <br />20351,480,388477,2171,957,606 <br /> <br />Source: Eugene Airport Data, Bureau of Transportation Statistics RS&H Analysis, 2016 <br /> <br />Future cargo operations were determined based on an average weight per operation found in 2015 <br />historical data. This ratio was applied to the future volumes to generate a forecast of air cargo operations, <br />which is detailed in Table 2-11. <br /> <br />TABLE 2-11 <br />AIR CARGO FORECAST OPERATIONS <br />Planning YearTotal Operations <br />20201,105 <br />20251,127 <br />20351,173 <br /> <br />Source: RS&H Analysis, 2016 <br />EUGENE AIRPORT MASTER PLAN 2-20 <br /> <br />